May 6, 2025

Would Mao Hold Bitcoin with Roger Huang | Bitcoin Infinity Show #157

Would Mao Hold Bitcoin with Roger Huang | Bitcoin Infinity Show #157
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Would Mao Hold Bitcoin with Roger Huang | Bitcoin Infinity Show #157

In this episode, we welcome Roger Huang to the Bitcoin Infinity Show to discuss his insights on Bitcoin’s role in China.

In this episode, we welcome Roger Huang to the Bitcoin Infinity Show to discuss his insights on Bitcoin's role in China. We explore Roger's background, the intricacies of the Chinese economy, cultural and political nuances, and the potential impact of Bitcoin on Chinese society. Roger also delves into the country's history, its current geopolitical stance, and his perspective on the future of China.

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https://x.com/Rogerh1991
https://bit.ly/chinabtcbook

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The Bitcoin Infinity Show is a Bitcoin podcast hosted by Knut Svanholm and Luke de Wolf.

The Freedom Footprint Show is a Bitcoin podcast hosted by Knut Svanholm and Luke de Wolf.

In each episode, we explore everything from deep philosophy to practical tools to emit freedom dioxide to expand your freedom footprint!

00:00 - Introducing Roger Huang

03:40 - Would Mao Hold Bitcoin?

08:47 - China's System of Control

15:12 - How Big Is China?

24:31 - Can Bitcoin Save China?

35:41 - The Power of the Chinese People

42:53 - Tiananmen Square

47:59 - Ethno-Nationalism in China

57:39 - Bitcoin and China

01:15:24 - Wrapping Up

1
00:00:00,605 --> 00:00:03,305
Roger, welcome to the
Bitcoin Infinity Show.

2
00:00:04,519 --> 00:00:05,689
thanks so much for inviting me.

3
00:00:05,689 --> 00:00:07,039
I love, uh, love the show.

4
00:00:07,039 --> 00:00:08,899
I've been watching some of your
recent episodes, you know, saw

5
00:00:08,899 --> 00:00:12,499
the episode with Francis and, uh,
Madex, both Canadian Bitcoiners.

6
00:00:12,499 --> 00:00:15,469
So yeah, much love and,
uh, love to be on here.

7
00:00:15,849 --> 00:00:16,149
Yes.

8
00:00:16,179 --> 00:00:19,359
So, uh, Roger, you are
a fellow Bitcoin author.

9
00:00:19,359 --> 00:00:20,949
We always love having those on.

10
00:00:21,279 --> 00:00:27,309
Uh, and you are also a fellow Canadian,
uh, even though I'm not a Canadian,

11
00:00:27,549 --> 00:00:30,099
but, uh, this is Roger's book.

12
00:00:30,609 --> 00:00:32,229
Would ma hold bitcoin?

13
00:00:32,844 --> 00:00:37,554
And so, uh, uh, before we get into
that, I'd like to have a, a little

14
00:00:37,554 --> 00:00:41,454
bit of background on you for those
of our listeners who don't know who

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00:00:41,454 --> 00:00:43,464
you are or why you wrote this book.

16
00:00:43,464 --> 00:00:47,304
So, so can you give us
the TLDR on Roger Huang?

17
00:00:47,979 --> 00:00:49,569
Yeah, yeah, no, for sure.

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00:00:49,569 --> 00:00:53,889
So I was born in China but moved,
uh, fairly early to North America.

19
00:00:53,889 --> 00:00:58,479
But I would go kind of like back and
forth between China and uh, Canada.

20
00:00:58,569 --> 00:01:01,089
And uh, it was kinda like
a very unique upbringing.

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00:01:01,089 --> 00:01:05,589
Now I realize, 'cause I was kind of,
uh, in between both worlds a little bit.

22
00:01:05,714 --> 00:01:10,063
and so I was really plugged into kind
of different communities, whether that's

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diaspora communities or just, communities
like within China and things like that.

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00:01:15,049 --> 00:01:19,219
so I never quite lost my, uh,
Chinese roots, but then I also

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really had to clate to, you know,
a new culture in, in Canada and.

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And, um, yeah, uh, I started
getting interested in Bitcoin,

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I think in like 2012 or 2013.

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So, uh, some of the, I mean, you
had Francis on, um, and he was

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much more involved than I was on
this, but they had this like old

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Bitcoin embassy in, uh, Montreal.

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That was like a, that was a thing.

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And I realized after the fact that I
actually met Adam back, um, 'cause he came

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over to our, uh, there's like a coworking
startup house called Notman House.

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And one day I come in and there's
all these people like putting

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aluminum on the walls and like,
who the hell are these people?

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Like, there's like scanning
for bugs and stuff like that.

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And then, yeah, someone told me
it was like the Blockstream team.

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I was like, the Blockstream
team, what is that?

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And uh, yeah, like one of the original
co-founders of Blockstream is this

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guy who ran like A ISB outta Montreal.

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So, you know, Montreal actually had
some, I. So pretty, that's where I

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grew up and Montreal had some pretty
good, uh, Bitcoin kind of bonafides

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and I started writing about it in 2014.

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Um, that was kind of Bitcoin, uh, for me.

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And, uh, yeah, I've just been looking
to, I think you had mentioned something

46
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about when you write, you know, you
were writing all these books and you

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were writing all these articles anyways
and you decide to put them in a book.

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And I feel like my progression
is like very similar.

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I basically, was putting together these
articles because I was trying to just

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understand why I was so fascinated by it,
you know, and um, then it got to the point

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where I was just writing about it, uh,
2018, I think I started with Forbes and

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they gave me like a really broad latitude
and using the Forbes name, I was able

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to interview a whole bunch of people.

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and yeah, and then I wrote the
book, uh, would Mouth Hold Bitcoin?

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I started writing that in 2022, I think,
and I was doing some research for it.

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I had went to Hong Kong actually during
the protest and things like that,

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to, to research for the book and also
just to see what was happening with

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the protests and things like that.

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so yeah, that's the TLDR, maybe a little
bit too much tl DR, but that is the TL DR

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So fantastic.

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Would it be appropriate to say you were
ping ponging between the two countries?

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Yeah, no, of course.

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And uh, I'm pretty good
at ping pong actually.

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Uh, I hope

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we can, I hope we can see this live.

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But I was playing during, uh,
adopting Bitcoin in El Salvador.

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They had like a little, they had
like the perfect setup for me.

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They had a little ping pong table and
they had a poker table right next to each

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other, so I would switch back and forth.

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Oh, fantastic.

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So, uh, as, as I hold, would ma hold,
like, uh, the, the obvious question

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is, would, would Mao hold Bitcoin?

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What?

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Do you have a yes or no answer to this?

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I, I'm gonna hit you
with like a roundabout.

76
00:03:58,575 --> 00:03:59,205
Uh, you know what's funny?

77
00:03:59,205 --> 00:04:02,535
I gave Jack Dorsey a copy of the book
and he was like, that was his first,

78
00:04:02,625 --> 00:04:05,355
yeah, everyone's first question is
like, well, wouldn't mouth hold Bitcoin?

79
00:04:05,385 --> 00:04:07,215
I'm like, well, I guess that's
kind of like my fault for

80
00:04:07,215 --> 00:04:08,205
choosing that as a title.

81
00:04:08,445 --> 00:04:12,915
Um, originally, uh, so to give you
a little bit of context to back up a

82
00:04:12,915 --> 00:04:17,205
little bit, um, originally the book
was called One Country Two Blockchains,

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which no one would've understood, no one
would've understood, and also had the

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00:04:20,295 --> 00:04:21,795
word blockchain, which I actually hate.

85
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and, uh, so the, to, to be fair
to the Bitcoin magazine team,

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00:04:26,508 --> 00:04:27,618
they had a really good decision.

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They were like, Hey, like, you
should probably change the title.

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And I was like, okay, well
here's like a couple of ideas.

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And they really like the
wood mouth hold Bitcoin.

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Um, I think in hindsight I might've
actually chosen what she hold Bitcoin

91
00:04:38,838 --> 00:04:40,488
'cause that's actually much more relevant.

92
00:04:40,961 --> 00:04:46,241
but there is some cool things about he
Mao being on the cover, which is namely

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that Mao is actually on all the paper
bills in the, uh, Chinese state, right?

94
00:04:51,131 --> 00:04:56,590
So if you look at the un, uh, it's Mao's
face, um, also, super cipher punk, at

95
00:04:56,590 --> 00:05:01,330
least in my opinion, defacing Mao's,
uh, face is kind of a crime in China.

96
00:05:01,420 --> 00:05:03,610
Um, so my book is, I don't think aloud.

97
00:05:03,850 --> 00:05:05,740
Yeah, I've had that comment several times.

98
00:05:06,190 --> 00:05:08,890
Like, uh, people have been like
trying to read it in the mainland.

99
00:05:09,310 --> 00:05:12,250
Um, and they will not
bring it across the border.

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00:05:12,250 --> 00:05:15,333
I. it's like a little bit too
obvious, like the Chinese sensors.

101
00:05:15,333 --> 00:05:15,513
Yeah.

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It's got, well 'cause it's
got 'em with the laser eyes

103
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Yeah, I just saw the laser.

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mouse face, which was kind of like a, it
was kinda like a cheeky little reference.

105
00:05:24,790 --> 00:05:28,300
But anyways, um, so the actual question
itself would mouth hold Bitcoin?

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00:05:28,630 --> 00:05:32,530
I don't really actually address it that
much in the book, but, um, thinking

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through it, I mean obviously the one
thing I was trying to go with, with

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the title to really get across was how
much China has, um, changed and still

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remained the same in some ways, like how
the party has, uh, always had the power.

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Um, it's just replacing the figureheads,
but the figureheads actually do have some

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substantive differences with each other.

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So unlike Mao, uh, she reigns over a China
that is in position now that has some

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level of markets, uh, per se, although
under the complete control of the party.

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Ways.

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Um, and so, you know the question, would
she hold Bitcoin is much more ambiguous

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and would ma hold Bitcoin is a little
bit more like hearkening back to the old

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times where, you know, killed a lot of
landlords, killed millions of people.

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There was famine and
everything related to that.

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there's also an interesting kind
of thing where I think Mao would

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hold Bitcoin when he was a rebel.

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People forget that he was fighting
the caves for a very long time

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against the nationalist government.

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And one thing I do cover in the
book is that part of the reason

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why the nationalist government
lost was because of inflation.

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I have this presentation where, you
know, there's this, uh, girl holding the

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equivalent of 10 USD and Chinese currency
at the time when the nationalists ruled.

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And that 10 USD was worth, like, I think
it was like three, like 444,000, the, uh,

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the Chinese monetary unit at the time.

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And so that helped Mao and, and
one of the first things he did.

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Kind of strange for a communist,
or maybe not, maybe this aligns

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perfectly, is he actually created
the People's Bank of China.

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That was actually one of the first
things he did was he unified all

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the, uh, regional kind of central
banks into the, uh, people's

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Bank of China that we know today.

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And that prints currency
under his kind of face.

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So would Mal hold Bitcoin?

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The answer I usually give is yes.

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As a rebel, no, as a blood thirsty.

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Yeah, that clears things up.

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I, I think it also depends on when in
bitcoin's, not only in Mao's personal

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00:07:32,369 --> 00:07:36,959
history, but when in Bitcoin's history,
like the likelihood that he would hold

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00:07:36,959 --> 00:07:43,349
Bitcoin if he was allowed, uh, alive in
the year 2100, for instance, instance, is

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way higher than if he was alive in 2015.

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00:07:46,939 --> 00:07:48,919
I mean, some other people have
given me some pretty interesting

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answers to that, um, which shout out
to people like, other than me for

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thinking about this much more deeply.

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Um, but yeah, like, you know, uh, I
think there's this idea of like, some of

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00:08:00,176 --> 00:08:01,976
this is like she's dilemma route, right?

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00:08:01,976 --> 00:08:06,116
Like Bitcoin is like a part of, and
it's this weird intersect between like

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00:08:06,116 --> 00:08:11,096
state power and also like free freedom
technology right now at this point, right?

151
00:08:11,096 --> 00:08:13,496
With what's happening in the
states and everything like that.

152
00:08:13,496 --> 00:08:16,616
So you almost have China, China's
still holding some amount of

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00:08:16,616 --> 00:08:20,366
Bitcoin, by the way, from the
seizures they had of, uh, plus token.

154
00:08:21,131 --> 00:08:22,451
We'll get into that
maybe a little bit later.

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00:08:22,451 --> 00:08:28,728
But, now you see that Bitcoin has like
kind of gone into the game of global

156
00:08:28,728 --> 00:08:30,198
geopolitics to a certain extent.

157
00:08:30,198 --> 00:08:33,948
And so I certainly don't think Mao
could have ignored Bitcoin even

158
00:08:33,948 --> 00:08:38,388
now, and I nevermind Bitcoin in
2,100 at the point where like, you

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know, I think a lot of current fiat
currencies today may not exist, right?

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And then Bitcoin still persists.

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00:08:44,508 --> 00:08:46,278
So certainly not a force to be

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ignored.

163
00:08:48,281 --> 00:08:48,581
No.

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Uh, okay.

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Uh, the, so I want you to educate me a
bit about how much, how total the total

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00:08:55,871 --> 00:09:00,551
control in China actually is, because
I've heard different, uh, voices,

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00:09:00,667 --> 00:09:02,707
describing China from the inside.

168
00:09:02,947 --> 00:09:08,665
And one, uh, view I've heard, uh, quite
a bit is that if you are small enough

169
00:09:08,665 --> 00:09:12,115
of an entrepreneur, so if you're selling
like, fruit on the street or something,

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00:09:12,115 --> 00:09:13,675
then the government leaves you alone.

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00:09:13,675 --> 00:09:16,375
It's, it's when you're above a
certain threshold, they come and

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00:09:16,855 --> 00:09:20,815
instantly like, take over and it's
state run from then on, basically.

173
00:09:21,115 --> 00:09:23,305
So, so what's you, your view on that?

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00:09:23,305 --> 00:09:28,645
Can you gimme like the, the, um, uh,
one-on-one on, on the Chinese economy

175
00:09:28,645 --> 00:09:30,565
and how totalitarian it actually is?

176
00:09:31,320 --> 00:09:32,710
Yeah, no, um, no.

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00:09:32,710 --> 00:09:33,430
Happy to.

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00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:38,680
Uh, I think first, like I have to
admit, like, so I visited China and

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00:09:38,680 --> 00:09:40,300
I would go quite frequently, right?

180
00:09:40,300 --> 00:09:41,835
But I've never worked
for a Chinese company.

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00:09:43,240 --> 00:09:46,570
So I've always worked remotely for
American or Canadian companies,

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00:09:46,570 --> 00:09:47,590
even when I was in China.

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00:09:48,100 --> 00:09:51,880
So I don't like have as much,
you know, direct interface with

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00:09:51,880 --> 00:09:52,960
like government restrictions.

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00:09:52,960 --> 00:09:55,000
I've never tried to
run a company in China.

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00:09:55,000 --> 00:09:59,080
I know a lot of people who do have
like their stories and stuff like that.

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00:09:59,080 --> 00:10:02,290
But just something to keep in mind,
uh, as I'm going into this perspective.

188
00:10:02,320 --> 00:10:05,320
'cause everyone's perspective will
kind of be a little bit different

189
00:10:05,530 --> 00:10:09,190
because a Chinese state is very
multifaceted and different people

190
00:10:09,190 --> 00:10:10,990
have different experiences in general.

191
00:10:10,990 --> 00:10:16,150
What I've seen is that if you
are, um, there is a level, I

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00:10:16,150 --> 00:10:17,650
think this would surprise people.

193
00:10:17,950 --> 00:10:21,610
There is a level of, I would
say like badassery to a certain

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00:10:21,610 --> 00:10:23,110
extent among like Chinese.

195
00:10:23,695 --> 00:10:27,775
People that, uh, would, you
would think would be surprising?

196
00:10:27,775 --> 00:10:30,535
Like, just to give you a quick
example, like there's tons of different

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00:10:30,535 --> 00:10:33,955
videos of like shop owners, when
the cops come in, shop owners are

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00:10:33,955 --> 00:10:35,335
like, get the fuck outta my store.

199
00:10:35,335 --> 00:10:36,205
Like, what are you doing here?

200
00:10:36,205 --> 00:10:39,955
So like there, it isn't as a clean
of a story as like, oh my God, we

201
00:10:39,955 --> 00:10:41,545
live in a totally Orwellian society.

202
00:10:41,545 --> 00:10:43,375
The police has all power over everyone.

203
00:10:43,375 --> 00:10:47,845
Like you can quite easily see video
clips of like small shop owners, right?

204
00:10:47,845 --> 00:10:51,265
Like coming, like berating
cops, like telling them to leave

205
00:10:51,265 --> 00:10:52,375
and like all this other stuff.

206
00:10:52,375 --> 00:10:56,065
And it's like there's a little bit of
like a rule breaking, like rebel spirit

207
00:10:56,095 --> 00:10:57,595
among I think some entrepreneurs.

208
00:10:58,239 --> 00:11:04,214
but I will say that at the upper
levels or like if you're trying to

209
00:11:04,214 --> 00:11:09,554
do any serious level of business, it
usually has to go through the party.

210
00:11:10,066 --> 00:11:12,016
and that means any number of things.

211
00:11:12,016 --> 00:11:16,484
It means like, you know, dinners,
uh, which are effectively kind

212
00:11:16,484 --> 00:11:17,834
of, in my opinion, bribes.

213
00:11:18,734 --> 00:11:19,814
Right where you are.

214
00:11:20,234 --> 00:11:22,514
You know, like one of the most
valuable companies in China by

215
00:11:22,514 --> 00:11:24,044
market Cap still might be the same.

216
00:11:24,044 --> 00:11:29,234
One is are the producers of mata,
which are sort of like this, like, uh,

217
00:11:29,234 --> 00:11:34,574
it's like this white, uh, uh, wine,
alcohol, uh, it smells like tire gas.

218
00:11:34,574 --> 00:11:37,004
It's like 88% alcohol
content or something.

219
00:11:37,004 --> 00:11:37,334
I don't know.

220
00:11:37,364 --> 00:11:40,964
Like if y'all, one of the favorite things
I've seen people do is like, Chinese

221
00:11:40,964 --> 00:11:44,444
people will try to trick foreigners to
think it's water and they drink like a

222
00:11:44,444 --> 00:11:46,364
few, and then they're just, they're gone.

223
00:11:46,664 --> 00:11:50,204
But, um, it's also kind of like
an informal index for bribery or

224
00:11:50,204 --> 00:11:54,164
corruption because they're kind
of like the favorite gift to give.

225
00:11:54,194 --> 00:11:58,034
You have these like, extravagant bottles
that are worth like tens of thousands

226
00:11:58,034 --> 00:12:02,894
of, um, well un and like, I guess tens
of thousands of like USD or Euro if we're

227
00:12:02,894 --> 00:12:04,274
thinking about it with other currencies.

228
00:12:04,961 --> 00:12:08,621
so like, yeah, like when you have
a successful business, you're

229
00:12:08,621 --> 00:12:12,521
either, you know, part of the
part, uh, you know, there's about

230
00:12:12,521 --> 00:12:15,131
a hundred, about like 10% I think.

231
00:12:15,566 --> 00:12:21,806
Of Chinese people are in the party itself,
and you kind of have to be, uh, when

232
00:12:21,806 --> 00:12:24,266
you're like at a certain tier, right?

233
00:12:24,296 --> 00:12:26,711
Um, like if you're trying to run like
a pretty sophisticated, like if you're

234
00:12:26,711 --> 00:12:30,476
running like a mom and pop shop,
honestly the restrictions on you are not

235
00:12:30,476 --> 00:12:33,086
necessarily that strict as we described.

236
00:12:33,296 --> 00:12:35,156
I mean, there still
are, don't get me wrong.

237
00:12:35,631 --> 00:12:41,121
if you do something that kind of makes
people like that punches above your

238
00:12:41,121 --> 00:12:44,541
weight, so like for example, I've
been reading a lot about how recently,

239
00:12:44,541 --> 00:12:48,921
like China has been cracking down on
influence per se, like people who run

240
00:12:48,921 --> 00:12:52,641
small businesses, but they might have
large social media followings and,

241
00:12:52,701 --> 00:12:56,781
you know, they get kicked out of their
social media followings and banned

242
00:12:56,781 --> 00:13:00,501
because they've been talking about topics
that the Chinese state doesn't want.

243
00:13:00,771 --> 00:13:04,821
Like the Chinese state kind of wants
this very clean and positive internet.

244
00:13:05,301 --> 00:13:10,911
And, um, what's been really funny to me is
seeing how that vision is propagating into

245
00:13:10,911 --> 00:13:12,441
like the quote unquote Western internet.

246
00:13:12,936 --> 00:13:16,716
Like through ING and TikTok and how
everything is basically just like a

247
00:13:16,716 --> 00:13:21,186
short video that people that sells people
stuff like that is actually kind of the

248
00:13:21,186 --> 00:13:23,256
Chinese internet, but it's another topic.

249
00:13:23,676 --> 00:13:31,146
But um, you know, uh, once you get to a
large enough level like you're a Jack Ma

250
00:13:31,176 --> 00:13:35,976
or ma or any number of like these tech
titans, like you do have to work with

251
00:13:35,976 --> 00:13:39,546
the Chinese state, the Chinese state
will destroy you if you go against it.

252
00:13:39,546 --> 00:13:44,226
We did see, you know, Jack Ma
and we've seen titans like get

253
00:13:44,226 --> 00:13:47,436
kidnapped from Hong Kong and come
to China and things like that.

254
00:13:47,436 --> 00:13:52,626
So, uh, certainly the party keeps a
really strict hold, uh, not only through

255
00:13:52,626 --> 00:13:55,686
kind of what I just described, which
is like in order to build a business,

256
00:13:55,686 --> 00:13:58,746
you probably need to have people in
the party enforce kind of what you're

257
00:13:58,746 --> 00:14:02,676
doing and support what you're doing and
provide you with government contracts and

258
00:14:02,676 --> 00:14:07,566
government financing, but also through
like at the very highest levels like you,

259
00:14:07,566 --> 00:14:11,406
if you accumulate enough economic power,
you become a target and you can become.

260
00:14:12,546 --> 00:14:13,056
Destroyed.

261
00:14:13,056 --> 00:14:16,296
So that's kinda what happened with Jack
Ma. That's like a famous example, right?

262
00:14:16,296 --> 00:14:20,556
Like he gave a speech and he basically
said, um, you know, I think that the

263
00:14:20,556 --> 00:14:23,886
loan sectors for small businesses
in China are totally broken.

264
00:14:24,426 --> 00:14:27,365
It's actually like a fairly benign,
you know, statement, you know.

265
00:14:27,397 --> 00:14:30,157
and then he disappeared for
like a few months, right?

266
00:14:30,157 --> 00:14:33,337
And recently he seems to have been
rehabilitated, like he's shown up with

267
00:14:33,667 --> 00:14:35,137
meetings with she and stuff like that.

268
00:14:35,437 --> 00:14:38,737
Um, this also happened actually
to the founder of TikTok.

269
00:14:39,232 --> 00:14:44,743
Uh, well, the founder of doin, which then
acquired TikTok, who founded by dance,

270
00:14:44,833 --> 00:14:50,023
he had to apologize to the party because
one of the apps he created actually, uh,

271
00:14:50,053 --> 00:14:53,863
had too much free-spirited discussion
of politics and stuff like that.

272
00:14:53,863 --> 00:14:57,335
So, and hopefully that paints
like kind of an accurate picture.

273
00:14:57,335 --> 00:15:01,205
I'm trying to convey that like, you know,
at smaller levels it's like you, you

274
00:15:01,205 --> 00:15:05,195
know, you have some Chinese base people
that people don't really know about.

275
00:15:05,405 --> 00:15:09,635
Um, but you know, as soon as you get
some, any significant amount of power,

276
00:15:10,295 --> 00:15:11,705
Chinese party state can step in.

277
00:15:12,618 --> 00:15:12,908
Yeah.

278
00:15:12,908 --> 00:15:16,988
So if there's one positive
about totalitarianism, it is

279
00:15:16,988 --> 00:15:18,308
that it's not sustainable.

280
00:15:20,597 --> 00:15:25,067
And, um, socialism and communism
are sort of self-defeating in a way

281
00:15:25,067 --> 00:15:29,357
because the economic system doesn't
allow for, for growth the same, the

282
00:15:29,357 --> 00:15:30,947
same way a capitalist system would.

283
00:15:31,247 --> 00:15:37,877
So having said that, like, uh, how
much of China, how, how big is this

284
00:15:37,967 --> 00:15:40,727
the Chinese, uh, economy really?

285
00:15:40,727 --> 00:15:42,347
Like how much of a bubble is it?

286
00:15:42,377 --> 00:15:44,572
Like how, how, how fragile is it?

287
00:15:45,047 --> 00:15:50,316
Uh, you see these, uh, what, what do they
call ever grande, uh, and, and all of that

288
00:15:50,316 --> 00:15:54,486
stuff, uh, the housing bubble, it's, it
seems like enormous and that it's just a

289
00:15:54,486 --> 00:15:57,216
house of cards ready to go at any point.

290
00:15:57,636 --> 00:16:02,016
Is that true, or, or do you think
China is like a, a real superpower?

291
00:16:02,016 --> 00:16:04,626
How much of it is, is, uh, is like

292
00:16:06,636 --> 00:16:09,006
blowfish economics?

293
00:16:09,891 --> 00:16:14,811
No, I mean, um, well, so I kind
of wanna approach it there.

294
00:16:15,351 --> 00:16:18,561
There's the Chinese economy is kind
of like an elephant and we're all

295
00:16:18,561 --> 00:16:20,631
feeling different parts of it, right?

296
00:16:20,841 --> 00:16:25,581
And maybe, perhaps even the party
itself does not know the whole elephant.

297
00:16:26,228 --> 00:16:31,628
you know, where I kind of approached
the elephant is my thesis is that

298
00:16:31,628 --> 00:16:35,258
China's economic growth during the
eighties and nineties was very real,

299
00:16:35,828 --> 00:16:39,518
but I don't think it was because
of what the party thinks it is.

300
00:16:39,668 --> 00:16:43,208
The party thinks it's because, you
know, they tried to underemphasize this.

301
00:16:43,208 --> 00:16:48,668
But basically what happened was
when Mao died, um, you know, Mao's

302
00:16:48,938 --> 00:16:51,668
economic policies were like totally.

303
00:16:52,328 --> 00:16:53,798
Very coordinated state court.

304
00:16:53,858 --> 00:16:58,268
They, they were like very Marxist,
Leninist and, uh, led to disaster, right?

305
00:16:58,268 --> 00:17:02,468
Like, so for example, he told people
to build pig iron in their backyards.

306
00:17:02,468 --> 00:17:05,168
He, uh, told people to kill the sparrows.

307
00:17:05,438 --> 00:17:06,578
And that led to famine.

308
00:17:06,578 --> 00:17:10,538
And that led to, you know, like
misappropriation of resources and,

309
00:17:10,568 --> 00:17:12,368
you know, millions died possibly.

310
00:17:12,728 --> 00:17:15,728
You know, I, I, you can make an
argument that Mao killed the most

311
00:17:15,728 --> 00:17:17,708
people in human history potentially.

312
00:17:18,008 --> 00:17:18,548
Yeah.

313
00:17:18,981 --> 00:17:24,021
so certainly the China after that
is different in the sense of like,

314
00:17:24,081 --> 00:17:26,451
they reluctantly embraced markets.

315
00:17:27,336 --> 00:17:32,346
Um, and so one of the first things that
started happening in the 1980s is you

316
00:17:32,346 --> 00:17:34,296
had the beginnings of private enterprise.

317
00:17:34,296 --> 00:17:37,116
So at the beginning with Mao, you could
not actually start a private company

318
00:17:37,116 --> 00:17:39,246
and you could not have private profit.

319
00:17:39,306 --> 00:17:43,595
But, after d Xiaoping and kind of his
economic advisors came in after Mao's

320
00:17:43,595 --> 00:17:45,575
death, that actually became the change.

321
00:17:45,575 --> 00:17:48,545
This is called the reform and
opening up period, uh, which I do

322
00:17:48,545 --> 00:17:50,645
cover in some of the book chapter.

323
00:17:51,182 --> 00:17:56,672
and I think during that phase, to me what
it was is that the Chinese people, so like

324
00:17:56,672 --> 00:18:01,947
long suffering under like bad economics
and things like that, they did have, I

325
00:18:01,947 --> 00:18:06,207
mean, I, I want to be very clear that
I think Mao was a blood thirsty tyrant.

326
00:18:06,207 --> 00:18:11,487
But one thing he did do was he implemented
a unified language and the education

327
00:18:11,487 --> 00:18:13,137
system was like, relatively okay.

328
00:18:13,137 --> 00:18:14,547
So like literacy rates were up.

329
00:18:14,847 --> 00:18:17,757
He did this thing where he simplified
Mandarin to this day, that's the,

330
00:18:17,762 --> 00:18:19,557
the distinction that kind of persist.

331
00:18:20,037 --> 00:18:21,927
And so it's kind of like, um.

332
00:18:22,827 --> 00:18:25,587
You know, because the reason why I bring
this up is there's a lot of interesting

333
00:18:25,587 --> 00:18:29,457
debates between why India and China
have grown, like at different rates.

334
00:18:29,877 --> 00:18:33,417
And one reason that's been cited is
'cause India has like so many languages

335
00:18:33,417 --> 00:18:35,097
in all the different places, right?

336
00:18:35,097 --> 00:18:40,107
And in China there was kind of this
baseline of like a, a unified language

337
00:18:40,107 --> 00:18:43,707
that was kind of simplified and like
you were able to easily like write it

338
00:18:43,707 --> 00:18:45,507
out and type a traditional Mandarin.

339
00:18:45,687 --> 00:18:46,857
Very beautiful by the way.

340
00:18:47,067 --> 00:18:49,197
Um, I have a deep appreciation for it.

341
00:18:49,197 --> 00:18:53,607
Like, uh, actually some of my family
was like a calligrapher and if you've

342
00:18:53,607 --> 00:18:56,847
ever seen like the ink and everything
like that, that's like the beauty

343
00:18:56,847 --> 00:18:59,067
of traditional Mandarin Chinese.

344
00:18:59,127 --> 00:19:02,926
Um, but you know, simplified
makes it a lot easier, removes

345
00:19:02,926 --> 00:19:04,216
all these like different strokes.

346
00:19:04,216 --> 00:19:06,886
It's a lot less poetic, but
it's a lot easier to read and

347
00:19:06,886 --> 00:19:08,236
it's a lot easier to understand.

348
00:19:08,626 --> 00:19:10,456
And there was like more literacy.

349
00:19:10,486 --> 00:19:13,366
And so there was that kind of,
that foundation that was growing.

350
00:19:13,696 --> 00:19:16,915
And then, d Xiaoping
allowed private enterprise.

351
00:19:17,275 --> 00:19:20,305
So you have like this like
population that was growing.

352
00:19:20,305 --> 00:19:24,295
There was about seven children
per woman in like the 1960s.

353
00:19:24,295 --> 00:19:27,265
And you know, they were all
looking for opportunity.

354
00:19:27,265 --> 00:19:30,835
And then oping goes and says,
it's glorious to get rich.

355
00:19:31,315 --> 00:19:33,325
You know, it doesn't matter
if it's a black cat or a white

356
00:19:33,325 --> 00:19:34,945
cat, as long as it hunts mice.

357
00:19:34,945 --> 00:19:36,955
Well, um, you know, it's a good cat.

358
00:19:37,465 --> 00:19:40,765
And so people started getting the groove
of like, oh, we can become entrepreneurs.

359
00:19:40,765 --> 00:19:43,105
And you have all these
crazy stories in China.

360
00:19:43,105 --> 00:19:47,035
Like you have like, you know, like
everyone is the king of something,

361
00:19:47,545 --> 00:19:49,135
but or the queen of something.

362
00:19:49,285 --> 00:19:53,155
Like there's the trash queen and there's
the paper king, the PaperClick queen.

363
00:19:53,365 --> 00:19:54,775
You think like, these are
very small things, right?

364
00:19:54,775 --> 00:19:59,035
But China has so many people
that like being the trash queen

365
00:19:59,035 --> 00:20:02,065
or whatever is like a multi.

366
00:20:02,905 --> 00:20:07,285
Million dollar business, multi-billion
dollar business, you know, um, like

367
00:20:07,285 --> 00:20:11,365
if you are producing a very small
widget, but you're producing it for

368
00:20:11,425 --> 00:20:15,535
1 billion people, like that is a very
profitable business in of itself.

369
00:20:15,925 --> 00:20:20,485
Um, so I think the eighties and nineties
were really like the unleashing of

370
00:20:20,485 --> 00:20:22,705
kind of like the Chinese people.

371
00:20:23,035 --> 00:20:24,595
They became like entrepreneurs.

372
00:20:24,595 --> 00:20:28,345
And one thing I'll say is, you know,
I talk quite a bit with Chinese

373
00:20:28,345 --> 00:20:31,675
entrepreneurs and they still have
that like hardnosed kind of mentality.

374
00:20:31,675 --> 00:20:33,505
They're building businesses
and stuff like that.

375
00:20:33,805 --> 00:20:37,405
And in Bitcoin, I mean, you know,
we can go into it, but you see

376
00:20:37,405 --> 00:20:38,515
some of the results of that, right?

377
00:20:38,515 --> 00:20:42,265
Like, I mean, we all talk about how
like Bitmain is a centralizing force,

378
00:20:42,655 --> 00:20:46,525
but it's also kind of impressive that
they like built this like business

379
00:20:46,525 --> 00:20:47,905
out of like basically nothing.

380
00:20:47,935 --> 00:20:50,965
And they were also like the Chinese
government was like kind of against

381
00:20:50,965 --> 00:20:53,155
Bitmain at the very beginning, right?

382
00:20:53,575 --> 00:20:58,000
Um, so anyways, I. But there's
also some links between, but we can

383
00:20:58,060 --> 00:20:59,470
talk about that a little bit more.

384
00:20:59,470 --> 00:21:02,800
But the point I'm trying to make
here is that that part feels real.

385
00:21:03,010 --> 00:21:08,110
I think, uh, ever since she has come
to power, um, it's become more and

386
00:21:08,110 --> 00:21:10,330
more bubble like, in my opinion.

387
00:21:10,780 --> 00:21:16,030
And they kind of do this game where, uh,
I've heard anecdotes where she is like,

388
00:21:16,270 --> 00:21:22,150
Hey, why are there not more unicorns, uh,
being built today to like a group of VCs?

389
00:21:22,570 --> 00:21:25,630
And people are like,
well, who should tell him?

390
00:21:25,900 --> 00:21:29,770
Because he's also playing this game
of like, Hey, like markets are bad.

391
00:21:29,890 --> 00:21:34,900
And like, you know, real estate should
be for, uh, the common person should

392
00:21:34,900 --> 00:21:36,880
be for living and not for speculation.

393
00:21:37,420 --> 00:21:40,930
Okay, but now ever grand is failing
because it's a real estate developer and

394
00:21:40,930 --> 00:21:45,370
you've suddenly made clear that like you,
it can't benefit from the loan financing.

395
00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:48,670
Um, and that has a lot of
dramatic consequences for,

396
00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:49,900
you know, the Chinese economy.

397
00:21:50,080 --> 00:21:53,410
So then now what they're doing is
because of the tariffs and everything

398
00:21:53,410 --> 00:21:56,470
like that, she is sitting down and
he's sitting down with all these

399
00:21:56,470 --> 00:22:00,580
industry titans, and now they've come
up with a plan to increase consumption.

400
00:22:01,120 --> 00:22:03,580
So now it's like, well, let's go.

401
00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:05,080
Markets are good.

402
00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:08,260
And also, like everything we said
about speculation, like we're gonna

403
00:22:08,260 --> 00:22:10,390
reign that in a little bit, right?

404
00:22:10,450 --> 00:22:12,730
Um, so that's kinda like the
tension of the party today.

405
00:22:12,790 --> 00:22:19,300
Um, I do think that government stats
are at least at best, directionally

406
00:22:19,300 --> 00:22:21,430
correct, and they censor people.

407
00:22:21,430 --> 00:22:24,970
They've arrested economists who like
question figures and things like that.

408
00:22:24,970 --> 00:22:27,010
So, you know, again, who knows really.

409
00:22:27,629 --> 00:22:31,079
I do think that growth has slowed
down, and I think growth will

410
00:22:31,079 --> 00:22:33,389
continue to be quite stagnant.

411
00:22:33,389 --> 00:22:36,749
That the China that we see now is
gonna be very different from the

412
00:22:36,749 --> 00:22:41,249
China of the eighties and nineties,
thousands, where, um, you know, that

413
00:22:41,369 --> 00:22:43,949
was where the majority of Chinese
economic growth really happened.

414
00:22:44,609 --> 00:22:48,928
Um, and I think part of that is
because Xi Jinping is kind of, unlike

415
00:22:48,928 --> 00:22:53,008
previous leaders really trying to eat
his cake right now and, and trying

416
00:22:53,008 --> 00:22:57,508
to remember, like, it's almost this
whole thing where there's a lot of,

417
00:22:57,568 --> 00:23:00,958
uh, interesting podcast interviews with
like early party figures where they're

418
00:23:00,958 --> 00:23:03,328
like, we're lucky embracing markets.

419
00:23:04,078 --> 00:23:08,878
And they see it as kinda like a weapon
to, to consolidate the party's rule.

420
00:23:08,878 --> 00:23:12,298
But it is a double-edged sword because
they're fundamentally, the party

421
00:23:12,298 --> 00:23:17,398
is kind of like the ideology of the
party is against markets, right.

422
00:23:17,548 --> 00:23:21,868
Yeah, this is so funny because like, it
reminds me a lot of, of what I've read

423
00:23:21,868 --> 00:23:26,398
about the Soviet Union, uh, like when,
when, uh, the, the, the last days of

424
00:23:26,398 --> 00:23:30,478
Stalin, for instance, when no doctor dared
to tell him that something was wrong.

425
00:23:30,538 --> 00:23:34,288
Because like, no one, no one is
incentivized to be the bearer of bad

426
00:23:34,288 --> 00:23:38,788
news in that kinda society, which
incentivizes everyone to be a liar.

427
00:23:38,788 --> 00:23:41,098
Same thing with a Chernobyl accident.

428
00:23:41,398 --> 00:23:45,148
It's just basically a chain of people
not addressing the problem because

429
00:23:45,148 --> 00:23:48,478
they have no one, uh, no incentive
to do so because they will be

430
00:23:48,478 --> 00:23:50,458
punished like it, and it's horrible.

431
00:23:50,458 --> 00:23:53,248
Like, and of course it isn't sustainable.

432
00:23:53,398 --> 00:24:00,148
So in your mind, what, what would it
take for China to like end like the

433
00:24:00,148 --> 00:24:05,098
Soviet Union did in a way like, uh,
for, for, for the ccp CP to, to just.

434
00:24:06,043 --> 00:24:07,723
Disintegrate and go away.

435
00:24:07,723 --> 00:24:13,723
Like is, uh, and the firewall is
torn down, like, uh, with, uh, you

436
00:24:13,723 --> 00:24:16,093
know, what was it, what's his name?

437
00:24:16,273 --> 00:24:19,753
Uh, the guy who played on the
Berlin Wall when that fell.

438
00:24:19,813 --> 00:24:20,203
Yeah.

439
00:24:20,353 --> 00:24:21,253
David Hasselhoff.

440
00:24:22,153 --> 00:24:22,603
Davidoff played

441
00:24:22,873 --> 00:24:23,233
really well.

442
00:24:23,278 --> 00:24:28,048
David David Hasselhoff had a concert on
the Berlin Wall with a blinking jacket.

443
00:24:28,408 --> 00:24:29,638
Uh, it was glorious.

444
00:24:29,908 --> 00:24:34,408
Uh, anyway, so, so is that, is that
even possible within our lifetimes?

445
00:24:34,408 --> 00:24:38,671
What, what do you, what do you see,
like, uh, can, can Bitcoin like, can

446
00:24:38,671 --> 00:24:41,911
the Chinese people start using Bitcoin
and just get around all of this?

447
00:24:41,911 --> 00:24:43,501
Is the, is this even possible?

448
00:24:43,711 --> 00:24:45,601
Is there a second revolution coming?

449
00:24:46,876 --> 00:24:47,086
Yeah.

450
00:24:47,091 --> 00:24:48,586
This is like a really vast question.

451
00:24:48,646 --> 00:24:49,336
Um,

452
00:24:49,636 --> 00:24:53,026
I, you know, I, I, I, I
wanna, I wanna start by, okay.

453
00:24:53,026 --> 00:24:54,916
So I'll, I'll kind of
break down a few things.

454
00:24:55,006 --> 00:24:58,156
Um, so actually continue
from the previous discussion.

455
00:24:58,516 --> 00:25:02,116
So when we talked about like the Chinese
economy being like a bubble, one thing

456
00:25:02,116 --> 00:25:05,056
China does have going for it right
now at this point is that it is the

457
00:25:05,056 --> 00:25:06,436
manufacturing superpower of the world.

458
00:25:07,546 --> 00:25:08,716
That is unquestionable.

459
00:25:08,776 --> 00:25:12,226
And whether the Chinese state is
going to, they also produce the most

460
00:25:12,226 --> 00:25:13,756
electricity in the world, et cetera.

461
00:25:14,056 --> 00:25:18,826
So whether the Chinese state is gonna
use that for war or use that for, you

462
00:25:18,826 --> 00:25:22,096
know, consolidated economic advantage,
that's certainly something they have.

463
00:25:22,456 --> 00:25:26,536
Um, and one thing I would point out,
'cause I think right now there's this

464
00:25:26,536 --> 00:25:30,616
big like, tariff war and the idea is
like, well we wanna bring those, uh,

465
00:25:30,646 --> 00:25:32,356
manufacturing jobs back to the west.

466
00:25:32,776 --> 00:25:36,556
But, um, actually China is the most
advanced country in using robotics.

467
00:25:37,186 --> 00:25:42,256
So really, um, if you look at the figures,
the United States is vastly underusing

468
00:25:42,256 --> 00:25:44,596
robotics and China's vastly overusing.

469
00:25:46,636 --> 00:25:50,356
Um, so there are actually entire factories
in China, they call them like one

470
00:25:50,356 --> 00:25:52,877
person, you know, one person factories.

471
00:25:52,877 --> 00:25:54,587
It was one person
managing the whole thing.

472
00:25:54,827 --> 00:25:57,287
And it produces about like one
phone a second or something.

473
00:25:58,632 --> 00:26:02,087
I, I, I heard somewhere that
the cost of an iPhone is, is

474
00:26:02,087 --> 00:26:04,547
10 bucks the production cost?

475
00:26:05,147 --> 00:26:08,687
Yeah, it's, it, it's crazy how,
you know, Foxconn and, and that

476
00:26:08,687 --> 00:26:10,187
has come at a lot of human costs.

477
00:26:10,187 --> 00:26:12,827
I don't wanna, you know, Foxconn
had a lot of worker suicides and

478
00:26:12,827 --> 00:26:14,057
things like that, so I, I do want to

479
00:26:14,357 --> 00:26:15,182
Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah.

480
00:26:15,647 --> 00:26:16,007
Yeah.

481
00:26:16,067 --> 00:26:17,477
But, um, it, it is,

482
00:26:17,537 --> 00:26:18,617
pays to the factory.

483
00:26:18,617 --> 00:26:20,687
I mean, like, that's their production

484
00:26:20,837 --> 00:26:24,647
I also, apple has made, I actually
wrote this specifically in the book,

485
00:26:24,647 --> 00:26:25,427
so I wanted to make that point.

486
00:26:25,427 --> 00:26:29,687
Apple has made a deal with the devil
'cause they, uh, you know, 'cause

487
00:26:29,687 --> 00:26:33,767
Foxconn and they also censor apps on
behalf of, uh, the Chinese government.

488
00:26:35,027 --> 00:26:36,257
A big no-no in my books.

489
00:26:36,317 --> 00:26:40,847
Um, but yeah, so the Chinese economy
has that advantage going for it, like,

490
00:26:40,967 --> 00:26:45,947
you know, and I think if it goes to war,
that will be a very unique advantage.

491
00:26:46,607 --> 00:26:49,817
Example, you know, a lot of people
have talked about it, like, uh,

492
00:26:49,817 --> 00:26:51,677
shit building and stuff like that.

493
00:26:51,677 --> 00:26:55,607
So, um, drones, drones are all
manufactured in China through

494
00:26:55,607 --> 00:26:59,027
DGI, uh, a lot of like, hardware
and software components, uh, are

495
00:26:59,027 --> 00:27:00,377
at this point are made in China.

496
00:27:00,917 --> 00:27:05,747
Um, so there, that is an advantage the
Chinese state has, and this gives it a

497
00:27:05,747 --> 00:27:08,567
unique power and position in geopolitics.

498
00:27:08,837 --> 00:27:14,117
Now, I'm gonna say two things, um, that
will kind of run our perspective here.

499
00:27:14,297 --> 00:27:17,327
The first is, when I'm asked this
question, I always tell people like,

500
00:27:17,687 --> 00:27:18,797
I, I'm kind of the same with Bitcoin.

501
00:27:19,217 --> 00:27:23,147
I never, I know directionally
it's gonna go up.

502
00:27:23,927 --> 00:27:29,207
I never, I am way, I wouldn't qualify
to specify exactly when it will

503
00:27:29,207 --> 00:27:32,747
happen or what will happen when,
so that is kind of like my take.

504
00:27:33,287 --> 00:27:38,897
And um, I guess like China, there's
been a lot of books written by people

505
00:27:38,897 --> 00:27:41,747
like Jordan Chang and stuff like that
where they're like, this is the year

506
00:27:41,747 --> 00:27:43,247
the Chinese Communist Party fails.

507
00:27:43,427 --> 00:27:43,697
Right.

508
00:27:43,697 --> 00:27:48,677
And if you track it, it's like
20 12, 20 15, 20 18, 20 22.

509
00:27:48,677 --> 00:27:51,587
Like it just keeps on the
day, keeps on changing, right.

510
00:27:51,857 --> 00:27:54,287
So I'm not one of those people.

511
00:27:54,377 --> 00:28:00,527
And uh, so I'll give kind of
like a bull case and a bear, a

512
00:28:00,527 --> 00:28:02,237
bear case kind of for the party.

513
00:28:02,687 --> 00:28:06,287
So the bull case of the party is actually,
uh, I've been reading a lot about

514
00:28:06,317 --> 00:28:11,237
Iran and if you think about it, Iran,
the modern iteration of Iran, pretty

515
00:28:11,237 --> 00:28:13,607
similar age to de Xiaoping's China.

516
00:28:14,267 --> 00:28:18,497
They both kind of in the late
seventies, actually, 1979, you

517
00:28:18,497 --> 00:28:20,507
know, kind of emerged and Iran.

518
00:28:21,392 --> 00:28:25,832
Has a lot of reasons as a state that
I think make it very, very weak.

519
00:28:26,012 --> 00:28:29,162
Like it doesn't have control over
its own manufacturing capability.

520
00:28:29,492 --> 00:28:30,812
It has multiple sanctions.

521
00:28:30,812 --> 00:28:34,502
It has many enemies, many capable
enemies in the region, right?

522
00:28:34,502 --> 00:28:39,572
It has tried to, uh, you know,
be participate in wars, uh,

523
00:28:39,572 --> 00:28:40,802
across different frontiers.

524
00:28:40,802 --> 00:28:42,782
It has been unsuccessful
to a certain degree.

525
00:28:43,142 --> 00:28:47,432
And you would think that based off of that
and the treatment of, you know, Iranian

526
00:28:47,432 --> 00:28:52,052
woman and all this and, and everything,
that the Iranian government might fall

527
00:28:52,112 --> 00:28:54,782
anytime soon, but it's still persisted.

528
00:28:54,782 --> 00:28:59,792
And so there's a little bit of a, like,
you know, generally I think that, um,

529
00:28:59,822 --> 00:29:05,042
for your generation, sorry, I'm just,
I, I know from your podcast that you're

530
00:29:05,042 --> 00:29:10,532
a little bit older, um, that, uh, you
know, I think that's when you all saw

531
00:29:10,532 --> 00:29:11,972
like the fall of the Soviet Union.

532
00:29:12,572 --> 00:29:17,402
So it was like all those dictatorships
were coming down at once.

533
00:29:17,402 --> 00:29:20,222
And since then, I don't
think we've really seen.

534
00:29:20,972 --> 00:29:22,322
Like movement in that way.

535
00:29:22,322 --> 00:29:26,072
Like I haven't actually, what happened
in Syria is like kind of a really

536
00:29:26,072 --> 00:29:27,962
big exception to that rule, I think.

537
00:29:29,147 --> 00:29:32,987
Well, there was the Congo, but no,
no one covered that in the West.

538
00:29:34,022 --> 00:29:34,292
Well, yeah.

539
00:29:34,292 --> 00:29:35,432
I mean there's, there's been other

540
00:29:35,432 --> 00:29:38,912
governments too and you know, like there's
been, yeah, there's been other, like

541
00:29:38,912 --> 00:29:41,642
Sudan has split into two and
all this other stuff, but,

542
00:29:42,152 --> 00:29:42,392
um.

543
00:29:42,632 --> 00:29:43,232
Anyway.

544
00:29:43,652 --> 00:29:48,512
No, but, but I still remember when the
Berlin War fell, fell on Soviet Union.

545
00:29:48,512 --> 00:29:52,412
Just, just didn't exist anymore
from one day to the other.

546
00:29:52,412 --> 00:29:56,792
It was, uh, like I, I was, uh,
young at the time, of course, in my

547
00:29:56,792 --> 00:29:59,762
like preteens, uh, or early teens.

548
00:30:00,122 --> 00:30:05,972
And, uh, uh, it was just bizarre because
we grew up in the Cold War and we're

549
00:30:05,972 --> 00:30:08,162
told that this is the way things are.

550
00:30:08,162 --> 00:30:13,682
And, uh, the, like Sweden, uh, uh,
advertised itself as being neutral

551
00:30:13,682 --> 00:30:18,032
in, in like in cheering for the
west or the east because there

552
00:30:18,032 --> 00:30:19,832
were a lot of social socialism.

553
00:30:21,002 --> 00:30:23,312
Socialist propaganda in Sweden as well.

554
00:30:23,762 --> 00:30:27,722
Uh, so, so we were sort of taught
that this is the way things are

555
00:30:27,722 --> 00:30:31,442
and we'll just have to wait and
see which system, uh, becomes the,

556
00:30:31,592 --> 00:30:33,032
the dominant one in the world.

557
00:30:33,092 --> 00:30:36,212
And then all of a sudden, one
of the powers just disappeared.

558
00:30:36,212 --> 00:30:40,262
And it turns out it was way worse
than ever anyone had that very

559
00:30:40,262 --> 00:30:42,077
imagined, especially a journalist.

560
00:30:42,716 --> 00:30:46,466
Yeah, no, I, and I mean, like, I, I
just think that we live in a different

561
00:30:46,466 --> 00:30:50,246
era now where if you have expectations
like that from before, like you saw

562
00:30:50,246 --> 00:30:54,626
the fall of so many different communist
dictatorships and then, uh, you know,

563
00:30:54,626 --> 00:30:58,196
you live in our era where, you know,
change of government is very gradual.

564
00:30:58,196 --> 00:31:01,016
So I, you know, China is
so much stronger than Iran.

565
00:31:01,021 --> 00:31:06,686
So, you know, I, I, I see there being
some natural inertia or like, we

566
00:31:06,686 --> 00:31:11,396
used to think that time was on our
side in the sense of like liberty

567
00:31:11,396 --> 00:31:12,866
and democracy and freedom, right?

568
00:31:12,866 --> 00:31:16,946
Like the idea was China would embrace
capitalism to a certain degree and

569
00:31:16,946 --> 00:31:21,776
markets and therefore its, people would
inevitably kind of, you know, uh, revolt.

570
00:31:21,776 --> 00:31:24,056
And I almost turn that around now.

571
00:31:24,086 --> 00:31:28,136
It's like the inertia of state control
has actually helped participate that.

572
00:31:28,196 --> 00:31:33,146
But now having said that, and all
that bloom and doomy, I will say

573
00:31:33,146 --> 00:31:39,836
one thing, um, China is the epitome
of, uh, gradually then suddenly.

574
00:31:40,601 --> 00:31:44,321
Um, and so this is actually
also what makes really

575
00:31:44,321 --> 00:31:45,461
difficult to predictable happen.

576
00:31:45,791 --> 00:31:50,921
Um, because for example, you know, one of
the, one of the things I I criticize Marx

577
00:31:50,921 --> 00:31:53,531
the most for, um, Marx is quite racist.

578
00:31:53,771 --> 00:31:58,616
Um, I think people forget that,
but um, he actually, um, I'm, I'm

579
00:31:58,616 --> 00:32:00,611
fine with having that highlighted
in a short or something, but,

580
00:32:01,196 --> 00:32:03,026
was very, very racist.

581
00:32:03,371 --> 00:32:05,231
anti-Semitic as well,
which is very ironic.

582
00:32:05,501 --> 00:32:12,251
Um, and um, so he, uh, you know,
one of the things was he called

583
00:32:12,251 --> 00:32:15,551
China, like an ossified society
that would like never change.

584
00:32:16,721 --> 00:32:22,241
And, um, ironically generation
after China produced the most

585
00:32:22,241 --> 00:32:25,961
explosive change and it happened
in the, like span of a few months.

586
00:32:26,434 --> 00:32:31,475
and basically there was all, the
dynastic rule came to an end in 1911

587
00:32:31,505 --> 00:32:35,375
in the first revolution that be,
that, uh, made China into a republic.

588
00:32:36,410 --> 00:32:41,090
And it was so fast that Sonen, who
actually led the, some considered

589
00:32:41,090 --> 00:32:44,750
to be the father of the Republic of
China, like he was teaching in Japan

590
00:32:44,750 --> 00:32:50,360
in exile or something, had to like
rush him back to, to like lead the, uh,

591
00:32:50,390 --> 00:32:51,890
lead the troops and stuff like that.

592
00:32:51,950 --> 00:32:57,620
Um, so, you know, that's one thing I
would say, like, don't underestimate

593
00:32:57,740 --> 00:33:02,180
the Chinese people's potential
for change and explosive change.

594
00:33:02,660 --> 00:33:07,220
Um, you know, China probably
oversaw the most something that

595
00:33:07,460 --> 00:33:08,900
no one predicted, you know?

596
00:33:08,990 --> 00:33:13,798
Um, you know, very few people predicted,
you know, when Marx was calling the

597
00:33:13,798 --> 00:33:17,818
typing revolution like backwards and
all this other stuff, like, well,

598
00:33:17,818 --> 00:33:21,688
within 50 years, like the Chinese
people in the span of a few months

599
00:33:21,988 --> 00:33:28,350
were able to get rid of thousands of
years of imperial rule and in a, in a

600
00:33:28,355 --> 00:33:30,268
fairly peaceful revolution actually.

601
00:33:30,538 --> 00:33:32,608
I mean, there was blood and,
and everything like that.

602
00:33:32,608 --> 00:33:33,958
There were warlords, but it was.

603
00:33:34,918 --> 00:33:37,408
Like a, a pretty, um, impressive feat.

604
00:35:42,173 --> 00:35:46,748
Yeah, this is, this is very positive
because like, I think people

605
00:35:46,748 --> 00:35:49,268
underestimate how damn big this thing is.

606
00:35:49,418 --> 00:35:54,668
Like, uh, what, what is like 1.4 billion
people is the official number, right?

607
00:35:55,148 --> 00:35:58,178
Uh, I guess that that number
comes from the government, so

608
00:35:58,178 --> 00:35:59,558
it might be slightly inflated.

609
00:36:00,338 --> 00:36:06,128
But if it's true, that means there,
there are 144 Chinese people per swed and

610
00:36:06,128 --> 00:36:09,488
like probably 200 per fin in the world.

611
00:36:09,908 --> 00:36:11,858
Uh, which makes it so vast.

612
00:36:11,858 --> 00:36:12,578
It's so big.

613
00:36:12,578 --> 00:36:17,258
And that must mean like if you have
a normal bell curve distribution of

614
00:36:17,258 --> 00:36:24,038
brains, you have, uh, 144 times more
geniuses in China than in Sweden.

615
00:36:24,278 --> 00:36:31,688
So, so the, and this is, uh, from,
just from statistics and, and even if,

616
00:36:31,748 --> 00:36:36,938
uh, China's internet is very shielded
from the rest of the world, it's

617
00:36:36,968 --> 00:36:38,498
still one and a half billion people.

618
00:36:38,558 --> 00:36:40,418
That's, that's huge.

619
00:36:40,448 --> 00:36:45,278
It's like, so, so if, and even with
somewhat suppressed and, and censored

620
00:36:45,278 --> 00:36:50,258
free freedom of speech there, like if
these people just talk to one another

621
00:36:50,258 --> 00:36:54,732
long enough, they will start to break
free from, from, uh, their shackles.

622
00:36:54,732 --> 00:36:56,022
There, there, there's like, uh.

623
00:36:56,802 --> 00:36:59,397
I, I, I, I happen to be an optimist.

624
00:36:59,637 --> 00:37:04,227
Uh, and I think these powers are just as,
as, uh, they're, they're rarely mentioned,

625
00:37:04,227 --> 00:37:10,917
especially by these doom porn, black pill,
uh, salesman, FUD salesman as I call them,

626
00:37:11,217 --> 00:37:13,197
uh, which are popular on the internet too.

627
00:37:13,197 --> 00:37:17,187
But the, the internet is first and
foremost a force for good because it

628
00:37:17,187 --> 00:37:20,817
makes people talk and makes people
have conversations like, like this one.

629
00:37:20,817 --> 00:37:24,807
And, uh, these, this stuff like
this must happen all over China

630
00:37:25,197 --> 00:37:28,527
all the time, regardless of what
the, the government thinks of it.

631
00:37:28,527 --> 00:37:28,737
Right.

632
00:37:28,797 --> 00:37:30,147
Uh, am I right about that or What

633
00:37:30,657 --> 00:37:30,897
What do you

634
00:37:31,107 --> 00:37:31,347
Yeah.

635
00:37:31,347 --> 00:37:34,197
Well, you, you also asked before
like how, and we'll, we'll

636
00:37:34,197 --> 00:37:35,727
finally get to Bitcoin at minute.

637
00:37:36,163 --> 00:37:40,213
you know, I have a lot of hope because
I've navigated Chinese internet.

638
00:37:40,273 --> 00:37:43,933
Um, and there are a lot of different
pockets that gimme a lot of hope.

639
00:37:43,933 --> 00:37:47,413
First, there are, uh, some
cipher punks in China, which

640
00:37:47,413 --> 00:37:48,403
is really, really cool to see.

641
00:37:49,063 --> 00:37:52,513
Um, and there are also Bitcoin
only Cipher punks cool to see.

642
00:37:53,053 --> 00:37:56,773
Um, so people who are embracing
encryption and who are actually

643
00:37:56,773 --> 00:37:58,573
building tools to help.

644
00:37:59,548 --> 00:38:01,258
Defray against the state's power.

645
00:38:01,258 --> 00:38:02,698
So that certainly exists.

646
00:38:02,758 --> 00:38:05,578
Uh, I have, I've written about
it a few times, but there's a few

647
00:38:05,578 --> 00:38:06,958
Chinese people who post on Nostri.

648
00:38:06,958 --> 00:38:09,448
There's like kind of like a boost
at a certain period of time.

649
00:38:09,448 --> 00:38:12,808
Like some of 'em have kind of tailed
off, but people still post, uh, stuff

650
00:38:12,808 --> 00:38:16,438
on Nostri and there's a lot of Bitcoin
technical resources and things like

651
00:38:16,438 --> 00:38:17,998
that that get translated into Mandarin.

652
00:38:18,148 --> 00:38:20,068
So that's very much alive.

653
00:38:20,355 --> 00:38:24,585
and one thing before I get into
the specifics of Bitcoin, um,

654
00:38:24,585 --> 00:38:27,165
I kind of wanna share like a
couple stories that give me hope.

655
00:38:27,165 --> 00:38:31,095
Like one is, um, you know, I was talking
to someone who they were telling me like,

656
00:38:31,095 --> 00:38:34,305
Hey, like, you know, ever since I've
actually learned more about Bitcoin,

657
00:38:34,335 --> 00:38:38,475
not only have I decided like maybe the
digital yen is like a terrible idea,

658
00:38:38,835 --> 00:38:42,735
but also I've deleted my WeChat pay and
my Alipay because I see them as like

659
00:38:42,735 --> 00:38:44,295
parts of like, you know, state control.

660
00:38:44,895 --> 00:38:50,100
And, um, you see these stories where
I. You know, I had another story I

661
00:38:50,100 --> 00:38:54,240
had, this is less Bitcoin related,
but, um, I went to a Tannin Square

662
00:38:54,240 --> 00:38:58,650
event where there were, uh, a lot of
the tannin square leaders at the time.

663
00:38:59,192 --> 00:39:05,072
and, uh, you know, this one woman who was
a student, uh, who was attending Harvard.

664
00:39:05,417 --> 00:39:09,330
Uh, at the time, you know, they
came up, and actually went to the

665
00:39:09,330 --> 00:39:11,610
panel speakers and they were like,
oh, I had no idea this happened.

666
00:39:11,610 --> 00:39:15,060
And this makes me rethink like what
happened with the government and this

667
00:39:15,060 --> 00:39:17,640
makes me rethink my perception of the
government and everything like that.

668
00:39:17,640 --> 00:39:21,630
So there's certainly these stories
that are like cracks in the veil.

669
00:39:22,050 --> 00:39:26,100
And, uh, what I would say about
the Chinese internet is actually

670
00:39:26,100 --> 00:39:27,900
that it's very alive and dynamic.

671
00:39:27,930 --> 00:39:28,770
I know that.

672
00:39:28,950 --> 00:39:31,560
And we can talk about the
specifics of like how censorship

673
00:39:31,560 --> 00:39:32,880
happens and things like that.

674
00:39:33,150 --> 00:39:36,120
And don't get me wrong, people
get arrested for saying things and

675
00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:37,440
sometimes it's like really ridiculous.

676
00:39:37,440 --> 00:39:41,010
Like you, you've had people get
arrested for like tweeting glory to

677
00:39:41,010 --> 00:39:43,380
Hong Kong for like 150 people, right?

678
00:39:43,380 --> 00:39:46,980
Like that, you know, it's like, like
I I, in talking with a few friends

679
00:39:46,980 --> 00:39:50,400
about it, what we find kind of scary
about the Chinese security state,

680
00:39:50,400 --> 00:39:51,540
it's like a little bit random.

681
00:39:51,840 --> 00:39:53,190
They almost like chaos monkey.

682
00:39:54,005 --> 00:39:56,225
It's almost the opposite of what I
described to you of like, if you're

683
00:39:56,225 --> 00:39:59,045
small enough, they don't, they leave
you alone if you're a physical business.

684
00:39:59,285 --> 00:40:02,975
But if you're online and you're talking
shop and they're like, you can be

685
00:40:02,975 --> 00:40:04,655
really small and they will go after you.

686
00:40:04,655 --> 00:40:06,785
So that's kind of a
little bit weird to me.

687
00:40:07,205 --> 00:40:10,505
Whereas I think like other governments
are a little bit more like, oh, well

688
00:40:10,505 --> 00:40:14,525
let's wait until this person has like
more influence and reach or whatever.

689
00:40:14,525 --> 00:40:17,855
Like the Chinese state has gone
after really small people to

690
00:40:17,855 --> 00:40:18,995
like make examples, I think.

691
00:40:19,829 --> 00:40:23,249
but having said that, even though there
are a lot of dramatic consequences

692
00:40:23,309 --> 00:40:26,876
and maybe because there are dramatic
consequences, the Chinese Internet's

693
00:40:26,876 --> 00:40:32,426
like very alive and very sarcastic and
very ironic and you know, like I, uh, and

694
00:40:32,426 --> 00:40:36,476
you see people who are like subverting
the party like all the time on there.

695
00:40:36,806 --> 00:40:37,526
Different things.

696
00:40:37,526 --> 00:40:40,226
Like, so for example, like,
um, I'll give you an example.

697
00:40:40,226 --> 00:40:42,596
Like there's uh, a sensitive date.

698
00:40:42,896 --> 00:40:49,376
So Mao's uh, eldest son died supposedly
'cause he was cooking like egg fried rice.

699
00:40:49,691 --> 00:40:51,941
Like, and then the
Americans bombed the site.

700
00:40:52,001 --> 00:40:52,541
They found it.

701
00:40:52,541 --> 00:40:55,721
I mean, who knows which story is
true or not true, but there's a,

702
00:40:55,721 --> 00:40:59,441
there is a date where you're not
supposed to talk about egg fried rice.

703
00:40:59,852 --> 00:41:02,042
and then everybody just
talks about egg fried rice.

704
00:41:02,402 --> 00:41:07,292
So it's like, you know, like there's a
lot of that kind of level of, of stuff.

705
00:41:07,292 --> 00:41:09,842
So the Chinese internet's like a
lot more alive than people realize.

706
00:41:09,842 --> 00:41:14,162
Like Chinese people are not like, to
your earlier point, you like, I mean just

707
00:41:14,372 --> 00:41:15,572
based off the distribution of people.

708
00:41:15,572 --> 00:41:16,622
Like Chinese people aren't dumb.

709
00:41:17,132 --> 00:41:19,292
Like there are a lot of
really smart Chinese people.

710
00:41:19,292 --> 00:41:22,292
And yeah, they have consequences
attached to their online identities

711
00:41:22,292 --> 00:41:25,232
and actions, but some of them,
you know, choose to build.

712
00:41:26,012 --> 00:41:27,722
It's not that many of them,
but some of them choose to use

713
00:41:27,722 --> 00:41:29,252
privacy and build privacy tools.

714
00:41:29,582 --> 00:41:31,862
I mean, one thing about the Chinese
internet that's really interesting about

715
00:41:31,862 --> 00:41:35,792
the censorship and that makes it more
alive is that a lot more people are used

716
00:41:35,792 --> 00:41:41,627
to VPNs, simply because you need to use
the VPN to access stuff versus here in the

717
00:41:41,627 --> 00:41:45,317
west it's kind of a little bit more like
you use VPNs 'cause you're kind of like.

718
00:41:46,022 --> 00:41:47,492
You know about cybersecurity?

719
00:41:47,522 --> 00:41:49,562
That's like a much
smaller amount of people,

720
00:41:49,922 --> 00:41:50,372
right?

721
00:41:50,387 --> 00:41:51,587
we're not forced to use it.

722
00:41:51,587 --> 00:41:55,487
We use it to be, to be the cool
two cool for schools sort of.

723
00:41:56,342 --> 00:41:56,642
yeah.

724
00:41:56,642 --> 00:41:57,332
I mean, yeah.

725
00:41:57,332 --> 00:42:00,572
Like, yeah, like, I mean, it's not
necessary, but in China it's like

726
00:42:00,572 --> 00:42:03,272
if you don't have it, you there goes
your access to like, everything.

727
00:42:03,302 --> 00:42:03,572
Right?

728
00:42:03,572 --> 00:42:06,182
And they have gotten more and
more strict about banning things.

729
00:42:06,182 --> 00:42:08,672
Like one of the latest things is they
ban LinkedIn, which I found really

730
00:42:08,672 --> 00:42:12,062
interesting 'cause I was like, I don't
really know how, like it's become

731
00:42:12,062 --> 00:42:16,112
really hard to communicate with people
in China, um, because they banned like

732
00:42:16,112 --> 00:42:20,882
basically all the ways of doing that
other than like WeChat or like everything

733
00:42:21,167 --> 00:42:22,892
You, you mentioned sarcasm.

734
00:42:23,162 --> 00:42:26,642
I've, I've heard somewhere that there are
like code words for all of this stuff.

735
00:42:26,642 --> 00:42:29,942
So I guess there's a code word for the
date where you can't talk about egg

736
00:42:29,942 --> 00:42:32,127
fried rice, whatever they call that.

737
00:42:32,217 --> 00:42:35,577
And, and, uh, like code words
for win of the poo, which

738
00:42:35,577 --> 00:42:37,107
you of course can't mention.

739
00:42:37,377 --> 00:42:38,187
Oh, I said that.

740
00:42:38,487 --> 00:42:38,907
Damn.

741
00:42:39,267 --> 00:42:39,537
I mean,

742
00:42:41,637 --> 00:42:42,541
we'll have to cut that out,

743
00:42:43,053 --> 00:42:46,983
That's if you all plan to go to China,
which having me on the show is a

744
00:42:46,983 --> 00:42:47,403
great

745
00:42:47,883 --> 00:42:49,023
Did I say win of the poh?

746
00:42:49,173 --> 00:42:50,253
I meant Mickey Mouse.

747
00:42:50,283 --> 00:42:52,953
No, I meant, I meant something else.

748
00:42:52,953 --> 00:42:53,013
I.

749
00:42:53,808 --> 00:42:57,408
Yeah, yeah, no, there, there are like
code words and there's like, you know,

750
00:42:57,408 --> 00:43:00,648
like you, you kind of like to give
you a really, like, this is probably

751
00:43:00,648 --> 00:43:05,508
like the most like popular or dramatic
example is they censor any variant of

752
00:43:05,508 --> 00:43:07,188
the tenement square dates June 4th.

753
00:43:07,248 --> 00:43:07,578
Right?

754
00:43:07,998 --> 00:43:09,138
So they'll censor that date.

755
00:43:09,138 --> 00:43:12,138
So people on the Chinese internet
started calling it May 35th.

756
00:43:12,168 --> 00:43:15,798
And then like all these other things and
there's different ways to refer to it.

757
00:43:15,798 --> 00:43:19,458
And then, you know, but sometimes
some of it's gotten so ridiculous

758
00:43:19,458 --> 00:43:22,338
that like, for example, you can get
arrested for like posting nothing.

759
00:43:22,938 --> 00:43:26,448
Like you can post like a black square and
they're just like, oh, well on this date.

760
00:43:26,478 --> 00:43:26,748
You know?

761
00:43:26,748 --> 00:43:29,688
So it is a little, it
is a little dramatic.

762
00:43:29,913 --> 00:43:32,493
But people haven't
forgotten Tianmen Square.

763
00:43:32,493 --> 00:43:40,113
I, I, I, I assume like that is a, I
remember that even more clearly than

764
00:43:40,113 --> 00:43:45,753
when the wall came down as like as, as
a, as a moment of triumph for freedom.

765
00:43:45,753 --> 00:43:49,863
Even if it wasn't a moment of
triumph, it was very, very iconic.

766
00:43:50,373 --> 00:43:51,003
Like, uh.

767
00:43:51,918 --> 00:43:54,888
So, so, so how do people
see that in China now?

768
00:43:55,135 --> 00:43:59,845
Well, um, yeah, I mean, it's hard
to get like a hundred percent.

769
00:43:59,905 --> 00:44:03,385
Um, so I'll, I'll, I'll tell a little
bit like some of the stories that I have

770
00:44:03,385 --> 00:44:08,065
about that, um, and then we can talk
about how Bitcoin actually benefits.

771
00:44:08,395 --> 00:44:09,085
But, um,

772
00:44:09,300 --> 00:44:12,800
sorry if we're not getting into Bitcoin
yet, but that this is too interesting,

773
00:44:12,835 --> 00:44:14,275
we're, we're refusing to do that.

774
00:44:14,275 --> 00:44:17,245
We're, we're trying to, we're
trying to last a minute, 65 without

775
00:44:17,245 --> 00:44:18,565
actually talking about Bitcoin once.

776
00:44:18,625 --> 00:44:22,571
Um, yeah, I, uh, I actually
used to host, uh, clubhouse

777
00:44:22,571 --> 00:44:23,831
rooms on like tenement square.

778
00:44:24,281 --> 00:44:28,001
Um, so we actually had, uh,
like, uh, someone who was there.

779
00:44:28,485 --> 00:44:34,755
talk about like his experience and, um,
you know, the Tannin Square kind of, uh,

780
00:44:34,755 --> 00:44:39,375
censorship is very, very heavy and there
are movements like the tannin mothers.

781
00:44:39,375 --> 00:44:43,035
So for example, the T mothers
were, uh, moms who had lost

782
00:44:43,035 --> 00:44:44,715
their children during T Square.

783
00:44:45,213 --> 00:44:48,783
and they are basically placed under
house arrest during the dates.

784
00:44:49,173 --> 00:44:53,253
Uh, now you've seen that, uh, the tenement
square commemorations have extended,

785
00:44:53,523 --> 00:44:55,143
the bands have extended into Hong Kong.

786
00:44:55,233 --> 00:44:59,403
So as soon as the CCP takes over, like
an area, you know, there used to be these

787
00:44:59,403 --> 00:45:03,693
pretty big rallies in Victoria Park, but
they've started arresting the organizers

788
00:45:03,693 --> 00:45:05,883
of that every time the date rolls by.

789
00:45:05,913 --> 00:45:06,603
And so.

790
00:45:07,278 --> 00:45:07,548
Yeah.

791
00:45:07,548 --> 00:45:11,178
What I would say is like, I mean, there's
been efforts in the diaspora, I think

792
00:45:11,178 --> 00:45:14,568
among the diaspora still remembered, like
there are still physical commemoration.

793
00:45:14,568 --> 00:45:18,764
So if you go to any of your local Chinese
consulates or embassies, during that

794
00:45:18,764 --> 00:45:23,744
date, you'll more than likely see like
at least 300, 400 people, you know, kind

795
00:45:23,744 --> 00:45:25,514
of post up and they have their signs.

796
00:45:25,514 --> 00:45:28,064
And, um, that's been
augmented actually recently.

797
00:45:28,064 --> 00:45:32,099
'cause one thing that's happened is,
uh, I think Hong Kongers or the Hong

798
00:45:32,099 --> 00:45:35,714
Kong young people who protested,
a lot of them are now in exile.

799
00:45:36,014 --> 00:45:38,504
And they've actually, this is actually
quite interesting because in the

800
00:45:38,504 --> 00:45:42,194
past, what I've heard from some
Hong Kong protestors is like, they

801
00:45:42,194 --> 00:45:45,254
didn't really see Tanamen Square
as like part of their struggle or

802
00:45:45,254 --> 00:45:47,054
they, they, they didn't really, yeah.

803
00:45:47,054 --> 00:45:50,054
But, uh, the Hong Kong
protestors now kind of see.

804
00:45:50,924 --> 00:45:51,614
That whole movement.

805
00:45:51,614 --> 00:45:53,084
And there's been a little
bit of a linking of that.

806
00:45:53,084 --> 00:45:55,394
So that's injected some young energy.

807
00:45:55,604 --> 00:45:58,814
So if you go to like these physical
commemorations I'm talking about, you'll

808
00:45:58,814 --> 00:46:00,314
see some young people because of that.

809
00:46:00,614 --> 00:46:04,874
But generally speaking, uh, the
people who are of that tanamen

810
00:46:04,874 --> 00:46:06,344
generation are getting older.

811
00:46:06,794 --> 00:46:08,744
And there are museums
that are being built.

812
00:46:08,744 --> 00:46:11,954
There's one that, uh,
was built in Los Angeles.

813
00:46:12,224 --> 00:46:14,114
They actually raised
funds through Coinbase.

814
00:46:14,294 --> 00:46:18,284
Um, some of the gentleman square
leaders are into cryptocurrency.

815
00:46:18,284 --> 00:46:22,754
I mean, I'm trying, I tried to get
them to accept donations on Lightning.

816
00:46:22,814 --> 00:46:26,204
Um, but he was like, a little bit
like, uh, it's, it's cool man.

817
00:46:26,474 --> 00:46:29,624
So I tried to connect him to, to some
of the, but you know, it is what it is.

818
00:46:29,624 --> 00:46:30,914
It's a slow, it's a slow burn.

819
00:46:31,274 --> 00:46:34,124
But they actually raised funds
through Coinbase for their museum.

820
00:46:34,244 --> 00:46:38,384
Um, so they were certainly open to
at least like crypto in general.

821
00:46:38,774 --> 00:46:39,104
Right.

822
00:46:39,134 --> 00:46:43,304
Um, and one of them in particular
is actually Joe F is, uh, he was

823
00:46:43,304 --> 00:46:44,834
like number five most wanted.

824
00:46:45,749 --> 00:46:48,149
So we used to talk during the
clubhouse days and stuff, and

825
00:46:48,149 --> 00:46:50,472
he's like super into crypto time.

826
00:46:50,472 --> 00:46:51,702
So there's some connections there.

827
00:46:52,032 --> 00:46:53,712
But, um, yeah.

828
00:46:53,712 --> 00:46:57,582
Uh, but they are getting older and
so the older they get, I mean the

829
00:46:57,582 --> 00:47:01,272
more, um, none of the significant
ones have like passed away yet.

830
00:47:01,302 --> 00:47:03,372
'cause I think they're still
like in their sixties kind of.

831
00:47:03,912 --> 00:47:07,272
But you know, there, there's a feeling
that the conventional democracy

832
00:47:07,272 --> 00:47:11,022
movement from mainland China, like
those people have been either exiled

833
00:47:11,022 --> 00:47:14,142
for like so long at this point,
it's like 30 or 40 years, right?

834
00:47:14,562 --> 00:47:17,562
That like, you know, their connection
to the actual Chinese people,

835
00:47:17,562 --> 00:47:18,852
it's kind of hard to, to see.

836
00:47:19,122 --> 00:47:25,152
Um, I do think that there are certain,
anybody who comes out in from the

837
00:47:25,152 --> 00:47:31,792
mainland to, China, uh, to, sorry, to like
anywhere outside of China these days has

838
00:47:31,792 --> 00:47:33,772
I think a working understanding of Emin.

839
00:47:34,342 --> 00:47:36,382
And one of the things that the
Chinese state has been trying to do

840
00:47:36,382 --> 00:47:39,142
is kind of like almost soft reveal it.

841
00:47:39,877 --> 00:47:42,847
Because they know, like if you're
outside of the country, you can look up

842
00:47:43,267 --> 00:47:44,947
information and all this if you want to.

843
00:47:45,427 --> 00:47:51,367
And um, I've talked with some members
that like, I mean, there's obviously

844
00:47:51,367 --> 00:47:54,007
stories like the one I told you
where people did not know at all.

845
00:47:54,367 --> 00:47:54,727
Right.

846
00:47:54,967 --> 00:47:59,167
But among some of the people who have
moved out, I think they, they are aware.

847
00:47:59,557 --> 00:48:04,017
But, one thing I will say, um, that
gives me a little bit of pessimism

848
00:48:04,017 --> 00:48:08,517
is like the younger generation,
China is very nationalist in ways

849
00:48:08,517 --> 00:48:13,137
that is, is hard to really grasp
until you like really confront it.

850
00:48:13,137 --> 00:48:17,397
They really believe that like China
is this growing power that like is

851
00:48:17,397 --> 00:48:19,167
being held down by the United States.

852
00:48:19,617 --> 00:48:25,047
Um, and, you know, um, I mean that's
not a hundred percent inaccurate, but

853
00:48:25,047 --> 00:48:28,827
at the same time, like I think they,
like, they take that to like an extreme

854
00:48:28,827 --> 00:48:31,797
of extreme pride and like, you know,
in the nation and stuff like that.

855
00:48:31,797 --> 00:48:35,172
And I. Obviously, I'm not saying
everyone is like that, but there

856
00:48:35,172 --> 00:48:37,632
are quite a few people who are
very, very, very nationalist,

857
00:48:37,632 --> 00:48:38,682
especially younger generation.

858
00:48:38,682 --> 00:48:41,652
And I have the story, one of my,
uh, I was talking to someone who's a

859
00:48:41,652 --> 00:48:47,292
professor China, and they were saying
that when, uh, Pelosi, uh, was flying

860
00:48:47,292 --> 00:48:51,072
to Taiwan, their students were saying
like, why aren't we shooting that?

861
00:48:51,522 --> 00:48:53,022
Like, why aren't we
shooting her plane down?

862
00:48:53,802 --> 00:48:54,012
You know?

863
00:48:54,162 --> 00:48:55,512
It's, it is like, it's like super.

864
00:48:55,512 --> 00:48:55,782
Yeah.

865
00:48:55,782 --> 00:48:59,352
There have been like anti-Japan protests
and some of you might have heard of

866
00:48:59,352 --> 00:49:02,652
like, you know, stabbings of Japanese
people in China and stuff like that.

867
00:49:02,652 --> 00:49:05,562
Like there is a very like,
nationalistic sentiment.

868
00:49:05,562 --> 00:49:09,912
And it is, it is quite, I think,
ugly and, and in many respects.

869
00:49:09,912 --> 00:49:15,282
Um, and I think that with this younger
generation, they're more inclined to,

870
00:49:15,282 --> 00:49:17,952
like, if you were to tell them about
Tanamen, they'd be like, so what?

871
00:49:18,552 --> 00:49:21,732
Like, they're more inclined to
be like, you know, like Yeah.

872
00:49:21,732 --> 00:49:24,642
That's just like what we had
to do, like as a country to

873
00:49:24,642 --> 00:49:25,872
like be where we are right now.

874
00:49:25,947 --> 00:49:29,337
so this nationalism, I guess that's
connected to the racism, which is

875
00:49:29,337 --> 00:49:32,757
also quite prevalent in China as
I understand it, like especially

876
00:49:32,757 --> 00:49:33,957
against Africans and stuff.

877
00:49:33,957 --> 00:49:40,287
Do you think that's connected to like this
narrative that the, the, the communist

878
00:49:40,287 --> 00:49:45,057
party has been spreading for so long that,
that this is, uh, that China's better

879
00:49:45,057 --> 00:49:48,387
than everywhere else and this is the only
system that works and blah, blah, blah.

880
00:49:48,387 --> 00:49:51,627
And, uh, is, is the
racism a product of that?

881
00:49:51,627 --> 00:49:53,397
Or was, was that there before?

882
00:49:53,517 --> 00:49:54,447
Like what do you think?

883
00:49:55,542 --> 00:49:55,722
Yeah.

884
00:49:55,782 --> 00:49:58,812
I mean, I think there's, uh,
it's an ethno-nationalism, right?

885
00:49:58,872 --> 00:50:02,352
Um, and within that there's a little
bit of a conflict because China,

886
00:50:02,442 --> 00:50:03,792
uh, has a lot of ethnic groups.

887
00:50:03,882 --> 00:50:05,412
It's not just the Han Majority.

888
00:50:05,472 --> 00:50:09,222
And so that's a struggle that, you
know, see in Xinjiang we see with the

889
00:50:09,342 --> 00:50:11,772
Uyghurs, see with Tibetans, right?

890
00:50:11,772 --> 00:50:15,102
And so that's like a, a
big conflict in of itself.

891
00:50:15,552 --> 00:50:17,892
Uh, and one of the things, I
mean, harkening back a little bit.

892
00:50:17,892 --> 00:50:20,802
You were asking me like, you know,
if the party falls apart, I think

893
00:50:20,832 --> 00:50:23,802
the party's really worried about
is they will have taken a lot of

894
00:50:23,802 --> 00:50:25,032
lessons from the Soviet Union.

895
00:50:25,077 --> 00:50:29,577
I think what they're trying to prevent
is, uh, when the Soviet Union fractured,

896
00:50:29,577 --> 00:50:30,837
there was a lot of ethnic strife.

897
00:50:30,867 --> 00:50:31,947
Same thing with Yugoslavia.

898
00:50:32,517 --> 00:50:35,577
Like basically the different countries
and groups started killing each other.

899
00:50:36,027 --> 00:50:40,437
And, um, in China that, um, you
know, there are, there is enough

900
00:50:40,467 --> 00:50:44,847
ethnic diversity within, there is
a kind of like hand chauvinism.

901
00:50:44,847 --> 00:50:50,337
So hand Chinese, of which I am a part,
um, uh, is, uh, are the majority group.

902
00:50:50,397 --> 00:50:53,097
They, they're probably the most
populous ethnic group in the world,

903
00:50:53,097 --> 00:50:56,457
I'm guessing because diaspora
are the largest, uh, group.

904
00:50:56,517 --> 00:50:58,167
Uh, and they're the
largest group within China.

905
00:50:58,696 --> 00:51:02,356
and so there are other ethnic groups
within that, but there's kind of

906
00:51:02,356 --> 00:51:05,986
like this favoritism to the hand
majority that or also plays out.

907
00:51:06,376 --> 00:51:10,276
Uh, and then there's some,
especially recently, a lot

908
00:51:10,276 --> 00:51:12,376
of anti-Japanese sentiment.

909
00:51:13,096 --> 00:51:16,126
I think partially because Japan
is always aligned with the states.

910
00:51:16,936 --> 00:51:22,486
Um, after World War ii, but also because
of, you know, the old grievances of,

911
00:51:23,056 --> 00:51:24,166
I think some of 'em are legitimate.

912
00:51:24,166 --> 00:51:27,376
Like obviously there were Chinese, uh,
Japanese war crimes committed during

913
00:51:27,376 --> 00:51:30,226
World War II against Chinese people
and, and everything related to that.

914
00:51:30,616 --> 00:51:33,976
And that's being packaged into, I think
at the beginning, 10 years ago, it was

915
00:51:33,976 --> 00:51:38,056
about burning Japanese cars, but now
you're seeing like stabbings of Japanese

916
00:51:38,056 --> 00:51:39,796
people and things like that in China.

917
00:51:40,036 --> 00:51:42,646
So definitely, um, seems
to have progressed.

918
00:51:42,646 --> 00:51:46,396
And you mentioned specifically
like racism against Africans.

919
00:51:47,356 --> 00:51:53,566
I mean, I, okay, this is, do with
this what you will, but I've been in

920
00:51:53,566 --> 00:51:57,196
China and I've seen Chinese people
at their like most because, okay.

921
00:51:57,196 --> 00:52:03,046
One thing I will say is, um, there's a
lot of like, like there's like a lot of

922
00:52:03,046 --> 00:52:06,286
white people who go to China and there
are suddenly like huge experts on China.

923
00:52:06,316 --> 00:52:07,456
'cause they're like, oh, like

924
00:52:07,726 --> 00:52:07,906
con.

925
00:52:07,951 --> 00:52:08,251
Yeah.

926
00:52:08,791 --> 00:52:12,706
All the information I have is from social
media, so like take it with a grain of

927
00:52:12,826 --> 00:52:13,501
No, no, no, no.

928
00:52:13,501 --> 00:52:15,841
I'm not saying you, I'm saying like
specifically, there are some people

929
00:52:15,841 --> 00:52:19,051
who go and like the thing I almost
want to tell them is like, Chinese

930
00:52:19,051 --> 00:52:20,791
people act differently around you.

931
00:52:20,941 --> 00:52:23,281
They think you're one of
them or not one of them.

932
00:52:23,641 --> 00:52:28,651
And I've seen Chinese people at like
the most like blunt, like the most

933
00:52:28,651 --> 00:52:33,091
blunt possible, like looking at the TV
and being like, why are there monkeys?

934
00:52:33,241 --> 00:52:36,121
Why are there so many monkeys on, they're
talking about black people, right?

935
00:52:36,151 --> 00:52:36,511
Like,

936
00:52:36,871 --> 00:52:39,661
like there, that is a very real thing.

937
00:52:40,171 --> 00:52:44,311
and yeah, I, I think that's
been around for a while.

938
00:52:44,311 --> 00:52:47,431
Like one of the things that's always
been really ironic to me is that a lot of

939
00:52:47,431 --> 00:52:53,191
people in China are very, uh, even though
they're being taught to hate the West in

940
00:52:53,791 --> 00:52:58,861
some ways, like they've embraced a lot
of Western brands and specifically like,

941
00:52:58,951 --> 00:53:03,181
they, like, I think this is also an Asian
phenomenon, like whitening their skin.

942
00:53:03,961 --> 00:53:05,401
Like, it's actually very bi.

943
00:53:05,581 --> 00:53:09,601
I'm a fairly tanned individual and
that has actually made me suffer in the

944
00:53:09,601 --> 00:53:10,981
Chinese community to a certain extent.

945
00:53:10,981 --> 00:53:13,231
Like people comment on that,
they're like, whoa, your skin

946
00:53:13,231 --> 00:53:14,461
tone's like very, very dark.

947
00:53:15,061 --> 00:53:20,971
I'm like, you know, like, so it, it's
not just, I mean I think that cultural

948
00:53:20,971 --> 00:53:24,361
part has been around, I think the
Chinese state is actually trying to

949
00:53:24,391 --> 00:53:27,091
like, actually, I think the Chinese
state struggles with this 'cause

950
00:53:27,091 --> 00:53:28,501
they're trying to tame it a little bit.

951
00:53:28,531 --> 00:53:31,231
Like to me it's a little
bit like, you know, like.

952
00:53:31,936 --> 00:53:34,966
How Trump and the state, I'm
just gonna use 'em as an example.

953
00:53:34,966 --> 00:53:37,816
Like he has some people on
social that he probably doesn't

954
00:53:37,816 --> 00:53:39,076
wanna be associated with, right?

955
00:53:39,076 --> 00:53:41,086
Like they're doing so much crazy stuff.

956
00:53:41,566 --> 00:53:43,426
Um, I think the Chinese
government's kind of similar.

957
00:53:43,486 --> 00:53:46,786
Like they want to perpetuate
this sentiment of like, we are a

958
00:53:46,786 --> 00:53:51,286
strong nation and we have to fight
against, uh, you know, the west

959
00:53:51,286 --> 00:53:53,176
and their cronies and lackeys.

960
00:53:53,536 --> 00:53:56,716
But I think some people actually the
Chinese state would probably prefer

961
00:53:56,716 --> 00:54:01,396
that some young people didn't take that
as far, like they've gone against, uh,

962
00:54:01,426 --> 00:54:05,356
even like Chinese mainstream authors
and stuff, like Moan, who's like the

963
00:54:05,356 --> 00:54:07,006
head of the Chinese Writers Association.

964
00:54:07,546 --> 00:54:11,386
Like they've attacked these figures
in the party for being like, not.

965
00:54:11,941 --> 00:54:13,201
Inflammatory enough, right?

966
00:54:13,231 --> 00:54:15,721
Like I was just talking about like
students who were like talking

967
00:54:15,721 --> 00:54:19,291
about shooting down Pelosi's plane,
like absolutely crazy conclusions.

968
00:54:19,531 --> 00:54:24,391
Like, you know, and it's like when you ask
'em about like China and war, it's, it's

969
00:54:24,391 --> 00:54:26,221
like a, it's like a cod game or something.

970
00:54:26,221 --> 00:54:29,281
They're like, yeah, like, like,
we'll, we'll beat the Taiwanese.

971
00:54:29,281 --> 00:54:33,211
Like, we'll, you know, like we, we
will just send a bunch of drones

972
00:54:33,211 --> 00:54:39,421
and, you know, it's, it is very,
it's a very odd kind of thing.

973
00:54:39,421 --> 00:54:44,491
And I, I don't wanna be too loose with
this comparison, but I suspect that,

974
00:54:45,031 --> 00:54:49,261
um, you know, Japan, Imperial Japan and
Nazi Germany went through like similar

975
00:54:49,261 --> 00:54:53,281
transformations and outlook, like in
order to prime their citizens for war.

976
00:54:53,911 --> 00:54:56,821
Um, and actually specifically
Imperial Japan, I think.

977
00:54:57,265 --> 00:54:58,765
like went through a very similar thing.

978
00:54:59,005 --> 00:55:01,765
I always find it really ironic
because, uh, and I've written about

979
00:55:01,765 --> 00:55:07,195
this, like in China there are so many
anti-Japan propaganda films from, you

980
00:55:07,195 --> 00:55:08,995
know, like the old grievances, right?

981
00:55:08,995 --> 00:55:12,925
So, uh, one of the ones that got popular
in Western studies that, I don't know if

982
00:55:12,925 --> 00:55:17,995
you guys know IP Man, the whole context
was like, he was like taken prisoner

983
00:55:17,995 --> 00:55:21,685
of war by the Japanese, but he was
such a good kung fu fighter or, or not

984
00:55:21,685 --> 00:55:24,025
kung fu, um, whatever that style is.

985
00:55:24,025 --> 00:55:27,025
Anyways, the, the, uh, the, the
martial arts that he could like

986
00:55:27,055 --> 00:55:31,375
beat all the Japanese, even though
they had rifles, you know, and that

987
00:55:31,375 --> 00:55:32,515
was, that was kind of its own thing.

988
00:55:32,515 --> 00:55:35,815
But you know, there's also all these films
about, you know, and increasingly there's

989
00:55:35,815 --> 00:55:37,615
a lot of things about the Korean War.

990
00:55:37,885 --> 00:55:40,675
'cause that was the last time the
Chinese fought the Americans, right?

991
00:55:40,675 --> 00:55:43,375
And so there's this idea of
like, okay, well we're rallying

992
00:55:44,155 --> 00:55:47,125
people around fighting, uh, wars.

993
00:55:47,725 --> 00:55:51,745
You know, uh, I, I think it's
probably pretty similar to, to

994
00:55:51,745 --> 00:55:56,215
how it, people were primed to
fight wars, you know, in the past.

995
00:55:56,215 --> 00:55:59,995
And I, I've always, that's like
the darkest side to me is like if

996
00:55:59,995 --> 00:56:02,665
you get into the internet, Chinese
internet and some corners of it,

997
00:56:02,725 --> 00:56:05,875
and you talk with some people, and
especially young, younger people,

998
00:56:06,385 --> 00:56:08,785
they have some like crazy conclusions.

999
00:56:09,025 --> 00:56:11,035
Like war is like a game to them kind of.

1000
00:56:11,035 --> 00:56:14,635
And I don't think that bodes
well to have, uh, to have many

1001
00:56:14,635 --> 00:56:15,925
people thinking like that.

1002
00:56:15,925 --> 00:56:15,985
I.

1003
00:56:16,660 --> 00:56:17,560
It's nasty.

1004
00:56:17,620 --> 00:56:18,550
It's nasty as hell.

1005
00:56:18,550 --> 00:56:24,250
And now we haven't even mentioned the
hypocrisy of the media corporations

1006
00:56:24,250 --> 00:56:27,940
from the West that like play into
these narratives and like make them

1007
00:56:27,940 --> 00:56:33,220
even stronger by censoring stuff and
making movies specifically for those

1008
00:56:33,220 --> 00:56:34,990
Chinese audience and stuff like I. Uh,

1009
00:57:40,048 --> 00:57:42,358
let's get into the Bitcoin
side of stuff, shall we?

1010
00:57:42,568 --> 00:57:47,278
Like, uh, we're, we're close
to the hour now, so, so yeah.

1011
00:57:47,278 --> 00:57:49,348
What are view, what are
your views on Bitcoin?

1012
00:57:49,348 --> 00:57:52,168
Like what, what, where do you wanna start?

1013
00:57:52,818 --> 00:57:56,103
Well, I guess let's start with, uh,
you had asked me a question initially

1014
00:57:56,133 --> 00:57:59,673
about like, you know, how you see
Bitcoin playing with China, right?

1015
00:57:59,673 --> 00:58:02,223
Like in terms of that and um, yeah.

1016
00:58:02,223 --> 00:58:06,273
Um, I mean one thing is that
China is a very tightly, like we

1017
00:58:06,273 --> 00:58:10,743
mentioned this like dramatic contrast
between markets and party control.

1018
00:58:11,343 --> 00:58:14,133
And where I think that plays
out very, very directly.

1019
00:58:14,583 --> 00:58:15,903
Uh, in many cases.

1020
00:58:16,233 --> 00:58:18,363
Uh, sorry, I'm just gonna
close something right quick.

1021
00:58:18,693 --> 00:58:23,943
Um, is, uh, that, um, you know,
in China you have the right

1022
00:58:23,943 --> 00:58:26,673
to earn money in many ways.

1023
00:58:26,793 --> 00:58:29,313
Like, I mean, that, that's been
something that's, that's fairly new

1024
00:58:29,313 --> 00:58:33,423
as we discussed in the eighties and
nineties, but, you know, within certain

1025
00:58:33,423 --> 00:58:36,213
limits, um, but quite generous limits.

1026
00:58:36,333 --> 00:58:40,323
You can make a ton, a ton of money in
China, there has been a generation of

1027
00:58:40,323 --> 00:58:44,253
people that have made a, a lot, a lot
of money selling, as we mentioned,

1028
00:58:44,253 --> 00:58:46,113
trash or widgets or whatever it is.

1029
00:58:46,395 --> 00:58:53,565
but once you're have that money, you
are not allowed to spend it or circulate

1030
00:58:53,565 --> 00:58:58,545
it in ways the party does not want you
to do so in many ways, um, it's kind

1031
00:58:58,545 --> 00:59:01,665
of like, you know, the dystopia that
Bitcoiners are always talking about,

1032
00:59:01,665 --> 00:59:03,195
like China's pretty close to that.

1033
00:59:03,195 --> 00:59:06,345
Like you're basically forced
to bank the domestic system.

1034
00:59:06,460 --> 00:59:09,550
CBDC is already there, like,
uh, the social credit score

1035
00:59:09,550 --> 00:59:10,480
system and all of that.

1036
00:59:10,480 --> 00:59:11,800
It's the C BDCs, right?

1037
00:59:12,480 --> 00:59:12,900
yeah, yeah.

1038
00:59:12,900 --> 00:59:14,550
And we can talk a little bit bit
more about that, but it's not

1039
00:59:14,550 --> 00:59:17,400
even just about the cbdc, like
even the default system in China.

1040
00:59:17,400 --> 00:59:20,880
It's like you, like, in order to
access WeChat pay, you basically need

1041
00:59:20,880 --> 00:59:22,500
a domestic banking account, right?

1042
00:59:22,500 --> 00:59:25,020
So there, and there's capital controls.

1043
00:59:25,290 --> 00:59:28,230
So if you earn a ton of money,
it's very hard for you to

1044
00:59:28,230 --> 00:59:29,610
get money outside the system.

1045
00:59:29,610 --> 00:59:30,300
That's deliberate.

1046
00:59:30,300 --> 00:59:35,160
So there's a 50,000 USD per person,
uh, per year limit on how much

1047
00:59:35,160 --> 00:59:36,390
foreign currency you can buy.

1048
00:59:36,660 --> 00:59:40,110
And this in many ways, shapes
a lot of the global economy

1049
00:59:40,110 --> 00:59:41,850
actually, uh, in weird ways.

1050
00:59:41,880 --> 00:59:45,060
Like, so for example, real
estate markets and tourism and,

1051
00:59:45,060 --> 00:59:46,170
and everything related to that.

1052
00:59:46,530 --> 00:59:49,440
But, um, this is a very fundamental block.

1053
00:59:49,560 --> 00:59:52,800
What I'm trying to really say here is
that Chinese people have the freedom to

1054
00:59:52,800 --> 00:59:57,600
earn a ton of money, and they have, but
they have almost, uh, they have many

1055
00:59:57,600 --> 00:59:59,130
strict restrictions placed on them.

1056
00:59:59,160 --> 01:00:01,380
China at one point was the
country with the most capital

1057
01:00:01,380 --> 01:00:03,000
controls in the world, right?

1058
01:00:03,000 --> 01:00:05,790
And so how do they spend or
circulate or invest that money?

1059
01:00:06,288 --> 01:00:10,788
and you're seeing that play out right
now in China because, for example, if

1060
01:00:10,788 --> 01:00:14,748
there's a gold ETF or anything like
that, like anything with positive

1061
01:00:14,748 --> 01:00:16,488
return, people are piling into that.

1062
01:00:16,488 --> 01:00:19,668
So one of my favorite questions to
ask people who are, you know, in

1063
01:00:19,668 --> 01:00:23,358
mainland China, I'm just like, how
are your share portfolios doing?

1064
01:00:23,358 --> 01:00:24,348
How's your real estate doing?

1065
01:00:24,918 --> 01:00:29,178
And they all gimme answers back
like, I'm 30% down, I'm 60% down.

1066
01:00:29,718 --> 01:00:32,508
I'm like, wow, that's like
great depression levels, right?

1067
01:00:32,868 --> 01:00:38,718
So, you know, Bitcoin as a hedge
against that is a very, very strong

1068
01:00:39,708 --> 01:00:43,810
argument I think what we've seen in
like kind of the quantitative stats

1069
01:00:44,110 --> 01:00:47,110
is that Chinese people are buying more
and more Bitcoin despite the fact that

1070
01:00:47,110 --> 01:00:48,760
there are restrictions on exchanges.

1071
01:00:49,000 --> 01:00:54,910
So there is no public trading pair between
the UN and Bitcoin because, uh, as an

1072
01:00:54,910 --> 01:01:00,820
exchange you are banned from offering
Bitcoin for Chinese dollar, uh, Chinese.

1073
01:01:01,750 --> 01:01:06,700
Like, and so, uh, really the trade
happens through like these informal

1074
01:01:06,700 --> 01:01:10,060
OTC desks and through exchanges.

1075
01:01:10,990 --> 01:01:13,840
Some Western journalists have
written about like P two P and like

1076
01:01:13,840 --> 01:01:14,950
laundromats and stuff like that.

1077
01:01:14,950 --> 01:01:16,870
Like, I don't really know
how much that happens.

1078
01:01:16,870 --> 01:01:20,980
Like I know there's some like old OGs that
have like different social media groups.

1079
01:01:21,610 --> 01:01:27,250
Um, but most of the, uh, buying
happens through basically the old

1080
01:01:27,250 --> 01:01:31,990
Chinese exchanges, wbi, uh, Binance,
and like all these others, they have

1081
01:01:31,990 --> 01:01:35,680
like, uh, kind of like OTC merchants
that are willing to take the risk.

1082
01:01:35,680 --> 01:01:38,980
So what happens is they pay a,
uh, boun, like they pay, uh,

1083
01:01:39,100 --> 01:01:42,580
escrow to be listed, like, let's
just use Binance as an example.

1084
01:01:42,760 --> 01:01:47,170
So Binance will have a page that just has
like these merchants, the OTC merchants

1085
01:01:47,470 --> 01:01:51,550
and those OTC merchants are willing to
send you, they pay a fee to get listed

1086
01:01:51,550 --> 01:01:53,380
in Binance, but they're not Binance.

1087
01:01:53,710 --> 01:01:56,770
And this is very important because if
they were Binance, the Chinese government

1088
01:01:56,770 --> 01:01:58,900
will go after Binance, but instead.

1089
01:01:59,665 --> 01:02:03,235
The Chinese government will only
really go after any of these OTC

1090
01:02:03,235 --> 01:02:04,675
merchants who could be like anybody.

1091
01:02:04,675 --> 01:02:05,575
I don't really know who.

1092
01:02:06,025 --> 01:02:06,445
Right?

1093
01:02:06,625 --> 01:02:09,025
And so the OTC merchants
charge whatever spread.

1094
01:02:09,175 --> 01:02:12,685
Uh, the spread is a little bit higher
on Bitcoin than it is on tether.

1095
01:02:13,165 --> 01:02:15,805
So what we've actually seen is a
lot of Chinese people buying Tether.

1096
01:02:16,395 --> 01:02:18,598
but there are some merchants
that do sell Bitcoin.

1097
01:02:19,220 --> 01:02:24,110
I think that overall though, uh,
bitcoin can immediately help a

1098
01:02:24,110 --> 01:02:28,070
lot of Chinese people by just
escaping that system, right?

1099
01:02:28,130 --> 01:02:29,990
Like what we described, because
they're, they're getting

1100
01:02:29,990 --> 01:02:31,310
pounded in terms of return.

1101
01:02:31,640 --> 01:02:34,640
Like they're making negative return,
like negative nominal and negative

1102
01:02:34,640 --> 01:02:39,170
real, um, and like really significant
negative return because of how

1103
01:02:39,170 --> 01:02:40,520
badly the Chinese economy's doing.

1104
01:02:41,240 --> 01:02:47,120
Um, so, uh, you know, even to get out,
I, I think the mental block with Chinese

1105
01:02:47,120 --> 01:02:51,860
people, uh, from what I've observed is
that there's very few bitcoin maxis.

1106
01:02:52,070 --> 01:02:54,170
There are some in touch with some of them.

1107
01:02:54,980 --> 01:02:57,080
The ones who are Bitcoin maxi super paced.

1108
01:02:57,410 --> 01:02:59,900
I think the big mental block is
most Chinese people are still

1109
01:02:59,900 --> 01:03:01,400
thinking in terms of US dollars.

1110
01:03:03,457 --> 01:03:10,987
And also, uh, from what I heard, this is
a westerner, uh, listening to too many

1111
01:03:10,987 --> 01:03:16,417
rumors, but the, the Chinese are hap, are,
are happy gamblers, like really addicted.

1112
01:03:16,507 --> 01:03:20,737
There's a lot of gambling addicts and
that's why shit coins, uh, are so popular.

1113
01:03:20,737 --> 01:03:22,567
Like, you like the gamble factor?

1114
01:03:22,567 --> 01:03:24,667
Like, is is, is there a truth to that?

1115
01:03:25,672 --> 01:03:28,192
Well, I mean, I play poker
every Sunday at, uh, no.

1116
01:03:28,507 --> 01:03:28,747
Yeah.

1117
01:03:29,182 --> 01:03:30,922
Um, actually poker's

1118
01:03:30,922 --> 01:03:31,852
probably the least dj,

1119
01:03:32,047 --> 01:03:32,257
like

1120
01:03:33,052 --> 01:03:34,132
well, poker and ping pong.

1121
01:03:34,132 --> 01:03:34,342
Yeah.

1122
01:03:34,342 --> 01:03:37,762
Catch me at, uh, at adopting, uh,
you know, adopting Bitcoin next time.

1123
01:03:37,762 --> 01:03:38,902
We'll, we'll, we'll do both.

1124
01:03:39,741 --> 01:03:40,161
no.

1125
01:03:40,161 --> 01:03:43,761
Um, yeah, so, uh, your,
the rumors are correct.

1126
01:03:43,761 --> 01:03:47,211
I wish you could both understand
Mandarin because they actually run these

1127
01:03:47,211 --> 01:03:48,876
like X rooms where they live stream.

1128
01:03:49,671 --> 01:03:52,731
The picks that they're making and they,
they're talking about a Mandarin and it's,

1129
01:03:53,091 --> 01:03:58,581
it's so fucking hilarious because people
will come in and they'll be like, uh, and

1130
01:03:58,581 --> 01:04:02,331
they like, almost like the one I was in,
I was just like, this is so hilarious.

1131
01:04:02,331 --> 01:04:05,421
Like, people would come in and just
be like, this is my pick of the day.

1132
01:04:05,421 --> 01:04:06,381
Like, look at this token.

1133
01:04:06,651 --> 01:04:09,141
But you know, what was so funny was they
would actually come in and they would get

1134
01:04:09,141 --> 01:04:11,331
respect for what scams they were taken by.

1135
01:04:11,661 --> 01:04:14,871
Like, one guy would come in and be like,
oh, I lost so much money on plus token.

1136
01:04:15,201 --> 01:04:16,821
And they're like, oh, wow,
this guy's like an og.

1137
01:04:17,601 --> 01:04:19,761
Like he was losing money in like 2018.

1138
01:04:19,761 --> 01:04:20,361
Like what?

1139
01:04:20,421 --> 01:04:23,871
Like, um, yeah, there's
a lot of degeneracy.

1140
01:04:24,051 --> 01:04:27,021
Um, and the, and the Tether kind of plays
into that a little bit because basically

1141
01:04:27,021 --> 01:04:32,121
what happens is they, they buy like
lower spreads, um, with Tether, and then

1142
01:04:32,121 --> 01:04:34,491
they use the tether to, to trade pairs.

1143
01:04:34,821 --> 01:04:38,451
And then, um, they actually go to
like lower and lower exchanges.

1144
01:04:38,811 --> 01:04:41,871
'cause there's like, apparently,
I, I don't really know all this

1145
01:04:41,871 --> 01:04:44,691
too much, but like, apparently
there's tokens and things that even

1146
01:04:44,691 --> 01:04:47,601
Binance refuses to, or, or whatever.

1147
01:04:48,096 --> 01:04:53,046
Um, yeah, I just don't know what that
line would be 'cause like, but um,

1148
01:04:53,046 --> 01:04:56,166
yeah, like people will go all the way
down and there's a lot of degeneracy

1149
01:04:56,166 --> 01:04:57,756
and that is part of the problem.

1150
01:04:57,786 --> 01:05:02,616
I mean, if any of you go to Asia or
any of the Asian Bitcoin conferences,

1151
01:05:02,616 --> 01:05:05,466
sad to say this, but that, that
mentality does infect there.

1152
01:05:06,346 --> 01:05:10,791
So, so, uh, there's not a, uh,
there's not a lot of maxes.

1153
01:05:10,971 --> 01:05:14,001
There's not a, so, so the
follow up question to that, to.

1154
01:05:15,021 --> 01:05:17,751
Is there any conversation
about Austrian economics?

1155
01:05:17,751 --> 01:05:22,611
Like if, if, if, uh, for instance,
if, if you're allowed to earn,

1156
01:05:22,701 --> 01:05:26,871
uh, as much money as you want, but
you're not allowed to use it for

1157
01:05:26,871 --> 01:05:32,331
whatever you want, I would instantly
like argue that that is not money.

1158
01:05:32,331 --> 01:05:36,591
It's just a fancy gift card from
your captor and your suffering

1159
01:05:36,591 --> 01:05:37,701
from Stockholm Syndrome.

1160
01:05:37,761 --> 01:05:42,411
Like, uh, are people thinking
that along those lines at all?

1161
01:05:42,411 --> 01:05:46,325
Like, is, is that, is that conversation
going on that, government money

1162
01:05:46,325 --> 01:05:50,435
isn't money really, like this WeChat
thing is, is just a tool for control?

1163
01:05:50,435 --> 01:05:52,205
Like, uh, do people see that?

1164
01:05:52,966 --> 01:05:56,836
yeah, I mean, uh, I think one of the
interesting places has been Hong Kong.

1165
01:05:57,016 --> 01:06:02,326
Um, Hong Kong was actually like a, a
free port city and like had multiple

1166
01:06:02,326 --> 01:06:05,566
like, uh, so one guy I actually had
an interview with was Simon Lee.

1167
01:06:05,896 --> 01:06:06,676
Really interesting guy.

1168
01:06:06,706 --> 01:06:11,026
'cause he built a, like a think tank that
was dedicated to like, uh, libertarian

1169
01:06:11,026 --> 01:06:13,456
economics, like in, in, uh, Hong Kong.

1170
01:06:14,066 --> 01:06:14,416
No.

1171
01:06:14,416 --> 01:06:17,836
Hong Kong is a great example of
how powerful free markets are

1172
01:06:17,836 --> 01:06:20,746
that that's like one of the most
shining examples in the world.

1173
01:06:21,661 --> 01:06:21,961
Yeah.

1174
01:06:21,961 --> 01:06:25,531
And unfortunately what happened
was, um, and this has happened to a

1175
01:06:25,531 --> 01:06:28,081
lot of, uh, because I used to know
quite a few Bitcoiners who lived in

1176
01:06:28,081 --> 01:06:32,401
Hong Kong and they've, uh, all left
unfortunately because, you know,

1177
01:06:32,401 --> 01:06:34,951
like there was a lot of benefits.

1178
01:06:34,951 --> 01:06:36,991
Of course, uh, there was 0% tax.

1179
01:06:37,081 --> 01:06:39,571
Um, and there was a lot of,
uh, you know, it was a free,

1180
01:06:39,691 --> 01:06:41,101
free port as we just discussed.

1181
01:06:41,101 --> 01:06:44,641
And, uh, there was a lot of,
um, you know, markets and, uh,

1182
01:06:44,641 --> 01:06:46,711
it was a good way to invest.

1183
01:06:46,711 --> 01:06:51,001
And it was a bridge between west and
east, kinda like the, the C is kind

1184
01:06:51,001 --> 01:06:55,291
of like a bridge financial flows
the west into the e, into China.

1185
01:06:55,820 --> 01:07:00,470
but I think the CCP realized that,
uh, they couldn't maintain political

1186
01:07:00,470 --> 01:07:02,240
control over that 'cause of the protest.

1187
01:07:02,780 --> 01:07:05,870
And so they stepped in
and they kind of rewrote.

1188
01:07:06,320 --> 01:07:08,780
The whole governing document.

1189
01:07:09,140 --> 01:07:12,320
Um, and you implemented
a national security law.

1190
01:07:12,680 --> 01:07:13,820
It's very draconian.

1191
01:07:13,910 --> 01:07:16,700
And so yeah, Hong Kong has,
has slowly drifted away.

1192
01:07:16,940 --> 01:07:22,250
There are, um, um, so I will say that
Bitcoiners that uh, do become Bitcoiners,

1193
01:07:22,310 --> 01:07:26,150
uh, in China, I see them as like
the roses that grow outta concrete.

1194
01:07:26,660 --> 01:07:26,960
Right.

1195
01:07:26,960 --> 01:07:29,390
Like you have to really, uh, yeah.

1196
01:07:29,390 --> 01:07:34,460
So they tend to be like, for lack
of a better word, like very based.

1197
01:07:34,760 --> 01:07:35,240
Yeah.

1198
01:07:35,300 --> 01:07:38,270
'cause they, they get, because
like in order to be who they are,

1199
01:07:38,270 --> 01:07:43,639
it's actually pretty dangerous to
like have even that level of view.

1200
01:07:43,669 --> 01:07:44,059
Right.

1201
01:07:44,059 --> 01:07:48,529
It's like government money should,
like, it's very, very anti what

1202
01:07:48,529 --> 01:07:49,849
the Chinese government thinks.

1203
01:07:50,149 --> 01:07:50,329
You know?

1204
01:07:50,329 --> 01:07:52,939
I don't know if you remember that
broadcast or the Chinese government,

1205
01:07:53,149 --> 01:07:56,029
the, one of the economists, I
think he was working with the

1206
01:07:56,029 --> 01:07:56,749
Chinese government or something.

1207
01:07:56,749 --> 01:08:00,199
He's just like, if we adopt Bitcoin,
like literally everyone will die.

1208
01:08:00,949 --> 01:08:01,969
Like, I don't know if you see

1209
01:08:02,039 --> 01:08:03,374
Yeah, I saw that it's

1210
01:08:03,374 --> 01:08:11,534
like, uh, uh, I have never seen, uh, a
more Ian, Ian if, if like, uh, uh, I've

1211
01:08:11,534 --> 01:08:15,854
never seen a person fall for the false
narrative of inflation is necessary.

1212
01:08:15,854 --> 01:08:17,774
Otherwise people would die than that guy.

1213
01:08:17,834 --> 01:08:19,064
Like it was hilarious.

1214
01:08:19,662 --> 01:08:20,262
yeah, yeah.

1215
01:08:20,262 --> 01:08:23,682
And now China has, well, according to
its stats, which again, going back to

1216
01:08:23,682 --> 01:08:27,715
the elephant, we don't really know,
but, uh, has deflation, regardless.

1217
01:08:27,745 --> 01:08:33,865
Um, yeah, like with, uh, that, you
know, if you're, it's almost like

1218
01:08:33,865 --> 01:08:38,695
the, I think it was that said it like
live your life so that, like your very

1219
01:08:38,695 --> 01:08:40,495
existence is like an act of freedom.

1220
01:08:41,035 --> 01:08:43,885
Like I, I, I see that in.

1221
01:08:45,055 --> 01:08:50,550
Yeah, co che, um, uh, you know,
he, uh, you know, I see that in

1222
01:08:50,550 --> 01:08:53,305
a, in, in quite a few Chinese
bitcoiners or dissidents, right?

1223
01:08:53,305 --> 01:08:57,685
Like they, they are living in a context
where like it is pretty dangerous to have

1224
01:08:57,685 --> 01:08:59,155
those views and to practice the things.

1225
01:08:59,305 --> 01:09:03,115
Like I actually saw, not to snitch
or anything, but I saw a few people

1226
01:09:03,355 --> 01:09:07,195
using nos or zap each other who are
probably Chinese, like in the mainland.

1227
01:09:07,375 --> 01:09:09,655
And I was thinking about how
like, that's probably illegal,

1228
01:09:10,465 --> 01:09:13,525
Yeah, but it, but it is changing
the world from the inside.

1229
01:09:13,525 --> 01:09:14,395
It's beautiful.

1230
01:09:14,395 --> 01:09:18,655
Like, uh, maybe, uh, that's
the way to, to, to go.

1231
01:09:18,685 --> 01:09:23,425
Maybe that you don't have to become a
Tinman Square guy with the shopping bags.

1232
01:09:23,425 --> 01:09:27,625
You can, you can be anonymous
master VPN person instead,

1233
01:09:27,625 --> 01:09:29,035
and, and just live your life.

1234
01:09:29,515 --> 01:09:29,875
yeah.

1235
01:09:30,025 --> 01:09:31,585
That's what I've been trying
to tell people too, is that

1236
01:09:31,585 --> 01:09:33,085
Bitcoin is a really unique thing.

1237
01:09:33,115 --> 01:09:36,775
'cause it's like, kind of like
HT TPS, um, because a lot of, you

1238
01:09:36,775 --> 01:09:39,325
know, a lot of people come to my
events, they're like Monero people.

1239
01:09:39,325 --> 01:09:42,085
They're always like, why is Monero
not overthrowing the Chinese state?

1240
01:09:42,145 --> 01:09:42,265
Or.

1241
01:09:45,100 --> 01:09:45,940
Or buys Monero.

1242
01:09:46,120 --> 01:09:47,110
But the, the thing is, is

1243
01:09:47,110 --> 01:09:51,190
like, And the reason why is 'cause
Monero has like no return profile.

1244
01:09:51,190 --> 01:09:55,120
It's like obviously branded to be, you
know, but Bitcoin is like, you need

1245
01:09:55,570 --> 01:09:59,350
some Normies to be using it because
then otherwise you're just like,

1246
01:09:59,350 --> 01:10:01,810
literally, like, you're just bait.

1247
01:10:01,960 --> 01:10:04,840
Like, I mean, if you use Monero,
you're, you're just using Monero, right?

1248
01:10:04,840 --> 01:10:07,420
Like, it's like a, it's like
that, uh, a narrow chat.

1249
01:10:07,660 --> 01:10:10,840
It's like that like line of phone
numbers that was only sold to criminals

1250
01:10:10,840 --> 01:10:12,400
and then the state took it over.

1251
01:10:13,090 --> 01:10:13,600
I'm like, well, you

1252
01:10:13,600 --> 01:10:18,040
can't, you need, like, the legitimate and
the legitimate use of Bitcoin is like,

1253
01:10:18,040 --> 01:10:20,770
it's a store of value that is much better.

1254
01:10:20,770 --> 01:10:22,150
It's a much better money, right?

1255
01:10:22,300 --> 01:10:25,060
In different ways, uh, in
a way that Monero is not.

1256
01:10:25,360 --> 01:10:31,600
Um, and so I think with that,
um, you know, that's what I've

1257
01:10:31,600 --> 01:10:32,200
been trying to tell people.

1258
01:10:32,200 --> 01:10:33,910
Like when I went to Hong Kong.

1259
01:10:34,330 --> 01:10:38,230
I had this super simplistic narrative
in my head that I was gonna find people

1260
01:10:38,230 --> 01:10:42,100
who were like, I'm using Bitcoin because
you know, fuck the Chinese state.

1261
01:10:42,100 --> 01:10:43,120
I'm like, blah, blah, blah.

1262
01:10:43,480 --> 01:10:46,870
But, um, they were using the
US dollar for that actually.

1263
01:10:46,870 --> 01:10:48,940
So there was a lot of
like Cantonese forums.

1264
01:10:48,940 --> 01:10:52,720
They were like, we want to divest from
Hong Kong, we're gonna buy US dollars.

1265
01:10:52,930 --> 01:10:56,350
So again, just talking back, I think
there's a mental block where it's like

1266
01:10:56,650 --> 01:10:59,980
you, it's like the allegory of the cave
and you're at the bottom level of the cave

1267
01:10:59,980 --> 01:11:01,450
where you're like, digital again is good.

1268
01:11:02,530 --> 01:11:05,440
And then you go up one level and
you're like, US dollar is good, and

1269
01:11:05,440 --> 01:11:06,700
then you go up like another level.

1270
01:11:06,700 --> 01:11:11,380
But a lot of very few people have
made that leap to the next level.

1271
01:11:11,680 --> 01:11:14,170
Uh, although one thing I will say is
in China, it's hard to tell because

1272
01:11:14,530 --> 01:11:17,530
there are people who are kind of like
the si like you do have a silent,

1273
01:11:18,100 --> 01:11:20,350
because people will not talk about this.

1274
01:11:20,350 --> 01:11:20,650
Right?

1275
01:11:20,650 --> 01:11:24,100
Like, they're like, even buying
Bitcoin is technically kind of illegal.

1276
01:11:24,100 --> 01:11:25,810
So like they're not gonna
talk about it openly.

1277
01:11:26,035 --> 01:11:26,275
Yeah.

1278
01:11:26,275 --> 01:11:26,515
Yeah.

1279
01:11:26,815 --> 01:11:30,055
This is, this is my experience
with dictatorships in general.

1280
01:11:30,055 --> 01:11:32,600
Uh, like when I was on
Cuba, it was the same thing.

1281
01:11:33,025 --> 01:11:35,545
Like everyone, no one said
anything bad about the government.

1282
01:11:35,605 --> 01:11:36,520
Like they didn't dare to.

1283
01:11:36,885 --> 01:11:39,225
No one will say anything to
it, especially to an outsider.

1284
01:11:39,315 --> 01:11:40,515
They're bad about the government.

1285
01:11:40,515 --> 01:11:42,735
'cause they're like, well, we don't
know what you're gonna do with that.

1286
01:11:43,095 --> 01:11:45,765
So, um, you know, but you,
you see it in the action.

1287
01:11:45,765 --> 01:11:48,915
So I actually, uh, I have an article
that's going up in a, in a bit that

1288
01:11:48,915 --> 01:11:52,065
talks about it, but I interviewed the
chain analysis team because they have

1289
01:11:52,065 --> 01:11:54,045
relationships with previous OTC desks.

1290
01:11:54,549 --> 01:11:58,929
not a huge fan of what they do
otherwise, but they, uh, they, you

1291
01:11:58,929 --> 01:12:02,199
know, trace like the amount of OTC
flows that come in through China.

1292
01:12:02,439 --> 01:12:04,959
And that's just been increasing
and increasing as we've discussed.

1293
01:12:05,319 --> 01:12:08,439
And so, uh, even though, you
know, obviously there's not like

1294
01:12:08,559 --> 01:12:13,209
conferences in China and there's
not, like, there is a two Mandarin

1295
01:12:13,209 --> 01:12:14,709
Chinese Bitcoin podcasts though.

1296
01:12:15,115 --> 01:12:18,325
Tom and Jerry discover Bitcoin and
there's another one that's more technical.

1297
01:12:18,325 --> 01:12:19,075
I forget the name.

1298
01:12:19,525 --> 01:12:21,895
Um, but there are a few developers.

1299
01:12:22,570 --> 01:12:25,180
Like China, they don't actually
bother developers or they haven't

1300
01:12:25,180 --> 01:12:26,200
bothered developers so far.

1301
01:12:26,230 --> 01:12:29,920
So there are some developers who live
in China who, uh, work on parts of

1302
01:12:29,920 --> 01:12:32,620
Bitcoin just randomly saying that.

1303
01:12:32,705 --> 01:12:32,980
But

1304
01:12:33,150 --> 01:12:33,690
Tom and Jerry.

1305
01:12:34,660 --> 01:12:37,660
yeah, so there's like Tom and
Jerry Fa B2B, which means, um,

1306
01:12:37,720 --> 01:12:39,100
Tom and Jerry discover Bitcoin.

1307
01:12:39,130 --> 01:12:39,581
Yeah, yeah.

1308
01:12:40,000 --> 01:12:43,300
Um, so there's two kind of Mandarin
language podcasts of Bitcoin, but

1309
01:12:43,300 --> 01:12:47,794
the Tom and Jerry one is based in
Malaysia, or at least a host are, but

1310
01:12:47,794 --> 01:12:50,344
they mostly interview mainland Chinese
people 'cause they do it in Mandarin.

1311
01:12:50,910 --> 01:12:53,940
and, uh, the other one I think is
actually based in mainland China.

1312
01:12:53,940 --> 01:12:56,370
I forget what it's called, but
there, there are, there are some

1313
01:12:56,520 --> 01:12:58,350
podcasts in materials on there.

1314
01:12:58,650 --> 01:13:02,190
But, um, I think the thing with
that though is like, you need there

1315
01:13:02,190 --> 01:13:03,750
to be a broad enough ecosystem.

1316
01:13:04,110 --> 01:13:07,140
So, uh, with Hong Kong, I came
in, I was like, okay, where's

1317
01:13:07,140 --> 01:13:09,960
the, you know, it's like, are they
revolting with Bitcoin, et cetera.

1318
01:13:09,960 --> 01:13:11,550
And it's not quite as simple as that.

1319
01:13:11,880 --> 01:13:16,080
But what I've been telling people is like,
you know, Chinese people choosing to put

1320
01:13:16,080 --> 01:13:17,970
their money outside the Chinese system.

1321
01:13:18,480 --> 01:13:19,380
Is revolution.

1322
01:13:20,190 --> 01:13:23,970
It actually is the most, it, it's
not even like, you don't wake up and

1323
01:13:23,970 --> 01:13:25,710
just be like, I'm a revolutionary.

1324
01:13:26,040 --> 01:13:26,790
You know what I'm saying?

1325
01:13:26,790 --> 01:13:28,740
Like, there's very few
people who are like that.

1326
01:13:29,100 --> 01:13:33,600
There's maybe like, I don't know, 5%
of the population that's just like,

1327
01:13:33,990 --> 01:13:35,790
I actively am trying to be a rebel.

1328
01:13:36,360 --> 01:13:36,750
You know?

1329
01:13:36,975 --> 01:13:40,830
I, I think like 95 or 90, I don't know
how many percent, this is just my, maybe

1330
01:13:40,830 --> 01:13:43,980
I'm a pessimist about this, but like
many people are just trying to be like,

1331
01:13:43,980 --> 01:13:45,720
I just wanna live my life day to day.

1332
01:13:45,720 --> 01:13:47,820
Like, if the government doesn't
get in my way, I won't get

1333
01:13:47,820 --> 01:13:48,540
in the way of the government.

1334
01:13:48,890 --> 01:13:52,700
that's a normie like in, in any
country, that's what most people do.

1335
01:13:53,180 --> 01:13:53,240
Yeah.

1336
01:13:53,330 --> 01:13:53,990
Yeah, exactly.

1337
01:13:54,050 --> 01:13:58,430
But I, I mean in, in China what's really
interesting is that normies are confronted

1338
01:13:58,430 --> 01:14:01,610
with like really draconian restrictions
that actually affect their lives.

1339
01:14:01,610 --> 01:14:04,850
Like we talked about the VPN example,
but the Bitcoin example is a really

1340
01:14:04,850 --> 01:14:09,080
good example because if you're in China,
you're not allowed to invest really any

1341
01:14:09,080 --> 01:14:10,820
significant amount money outside of China.

1342
01:14:10,970 --> 01:14:13,880
So that means you only really have
access to Chinese shares, which have

1343
01:14:13,880 --> 01:14:17,840
been tanking Chinese real estate, which
has been tanking Chinese government

1344
01:14:17,840 --> 01:14:22,940
bonds, which are kind of in a bubble and
like a gold ETF comes and gets lifted.

1345
01:14:23,300 --> 01:14:26,240
And like they had to de-list it 'cause
there was so much demand for it.

1346
01:14:26,630 --> 01:14:26,960
Right?

1347
01:14:26,960 --> 01:14:31,820
So, you know, that almost is
like the, the revolution per se.

1348
01:14:31,820 --> 01:14:33,080
It's like the backdoor revolution.

1349
01:14:33,080 --> 01:14:35,330
But that is actually like,
it's just the incentives.

1350
01:14:35,720 --> 01:14:39,050
You're not like encouraging
people to revolt or rebel.

1351
01:14:39,290 --> 01:14:42,140
You're just pointing out that like this
is a tool for you to get out of the

1352
01:14:42,140 --> 01:14:45,440
system and it, it is the thing, and I
point out in my book that is the thing

1353
01:14:45,440 --> 01:14:46,820
that Chinese Communist party fears most.

1354
01:14:47,405 --> 01:14:52,325
'cause their whole system is based on
the state controlling market, right?

1355
01:14:52,415 --> 01:14:56,195
If the Chinese people are able to
actually flow their capital outside

1356
01:14:56,195 --> 01:14:59,735
the system, that's actually the most
threatening thing there that can happen.

1357
01:14:59,915 --> 01:15:01,895
And you know, in Hong Kong, the
interesting thing, because people

1358
01:15:01,895 --> 01:15:03,665
ask me all the time, they're like,
why is Hong Kong trying to be a

1359
01:15:03,665 --> 01:15:05,525
Web3 hub and all this other stuff?

1360
01:15:05,975 --> 01:15:09,425
And I'm like, well, it's because, yeah, I,
I mean, I have my own opinions about it.

1361
01:15:09,425 --> 01:15:14,525
But, um, the reason why they're doing that
is because they're losing capital inflow.

1362
01:15:15,095 --> 01:15:18,665
Like the Chinese state is losing
access to foreign capital.

1363
01:15:19,175 --> 01:15:22,565
And that's become like an
existential problem for them.

1364
01:15:22,565 --> 01:15:23,465
And the Chinese model.

1365
01:15:24,588 --> 01:15:25,938
that's a lot to take in here.

1366
01:15:25,938 --> 01:15:29,088
I mean, Roger, this has
been super fascinating.

1367
01:15:29,148 --> 01:15:32,988
Uh, yeah, I, I, I'd love
to learn more about China.

1368
01:15:33,048 --> 01:15:38,268
Uh, um, so, and, uh, we, we are going to
see each other in Prague where, uh, you,

1369
01:15:38,268 --> 01:15:43,993
your book will be, probably be available
from our booth actually, uh, be be.

1370
01:15:44,058 --> 01:15:48,408
Before we wrap this thing up, is there,
is there anything we haven't, any subject

1371
01:15:48,408 --> 01:15:49,878
we haven't touched you wanna mention?

1372
01:15:49,878 --> 01:15:52,008
Like, uh, did we miss anything?

1373
01:15:53,248 --> 01:15:56,283
Uh, yeah, I just wanted to mention
briefly that I'm working on a second

1374
01:15:56,283 --> 01:15:57,453
book, which has nothing to do with China

1375
01:15:57,678 --> 01:15:58,518
Oh, fantastic.

1376
01:15:59,718 --> 01:16:00,948
Do you have a working title?

1377
01:16:01,563 --> 01:16:02,613
it's not a good one though.

1378
01:16:02,618 --> 01:16:04,113
I'm, I'm like really bad at that.

1379
01:16:04,113 --> 01:16:07,563
So maybe, maybe you all can help me with
this, but, uh, this, the working subtitle

1380
01:16:07,563 --> 01:16:13,053
is like, uh, how not to get Fucked by AI
to own the Future, or How Not to Get Owned

1381
01:16:13,128 --> 01:16:13,848
Oh, yeah, yeah.

1382
01:16:13,908 --> 01:16:14,298
Yeah.

1383
01:16:14,643 --> 01:16:15,003
Yeah.

1384
01:16:15,003 --> 01:16:15,243
Yeah.

1385
01:16:15,273 --> 01:16:19,533
So I mean, generally the idea is to try
to, what I, what I noticed is there's a

1386
01:16:19,533 --> 01:16:25,263
lot of anxiety about like AI or whatever,
like just, is AI coming to eat us, take

1387
01:16:25,263 --> 01:16:27,423
our jobs, et cetera, take our woman.

1388
01:16:28,028 --> 01:16:28,318
Yeah.

1389
01:16:28,473 --> 01:16:28,803
I dunno.

1390
01:16:29,073 --> 01:16:34,143
Um, but um, yeah, trying to use that
as an anchoring point for people to

1391
01:16:34,143 --> 01:16:40,893
understand more deeply why their choices
of technologies and use so important.

1392
01:16:41,283 --> 01:16:45,453
You know, so Bitcoin nostri, uh,
freedom Tech in general, encryption,

1393
01:16:45,453 --> 01:16:46,473
why these things really matter.

1394
01:16:47,068 --> 01:16:47,358
Yeah.

1395
01:16:47,363 --> 01:16:47,943
Super cool.

1396
01:16:47,973 --> 01:16:53,193
I, I mean, a lot of, like we mentioned
before, uh, doom porn and black pill,

1397
01:16:53,253 --> 01:16:56,763
uh, FUD salesmen, uh, that they are loud.

1398
01:16:57,362 --> 01:16:59,612
so, uh, don't be afraid of ai.

1399
01:16:59,672 --> 01:17:02,852
Uh, real stupidity beats
artificial intelligence every time.

1400
01:17:03,362 --> 01:17:08,192
And, uh, anywhere you want to
send our listeners, uh, on the

1401
01:17:08,192 --> 01:17:11,222
internet, anything you want them to
do, a call to action of some kind.

1402
01:17:11,825 --> 01:17:14,975
I mean, um, if they want like
more, uh, I know we've had like a

1403
01:17:14,975 --> 01:17:16,715
really in, in-depth conversation.

1404
01:17:16,715 --> 01:17:17,675
I really appreciate it.

1405
01:17:17,705 --> 01:17:21,980
Um, if they want more the same, there's,
uh, I have a website, China bitcoin

1406
01:17:21,980 --> 01:17:25,055
book.com, which just has more of like
my reporting and stuff like that.

1407
01:17:25,715 --> 01:17:29,675
Um, yeah, uh, I've been trying to send
people to my noster, but like that

1408
01:17:29,675 --> 01:17:32,705
has, people have been telling me my
Nippo five hasn't been working as well.

1409
01:17:32,705 --> 01:17:37,805
So, I mean, I'm lowkey@nosterverify.com,
but if you can't find me, just like look

1410
01:17:37,805 --> 01:17:40,235
up my name, NOST should be to find me.

1411
01:17:40,943 --> 01:17:45,863
I do have at Roger H 1991 on X, if you
wanna follow me on there, but recently

1412
01:17:45,863 --> 01:17:49,703
I've just decided to, I'm only gonna
post memes there and like, not like

1413
01:17:50,153 --> 01:17:51,863
I'm only gonna repost and post memes.

1414
01:17:51,863 --> 01:17:54,503
So less, yeah, I don't know.

1415
01:17:54,623 --> 01:17:56,693
It depends on what flavor
of me that you want.

1416
01:17:56,693 --> 01:17:57,118
Uh, access.

1417
01:17:58,177 --> 01:17:58,477
All right.

1418
01:17:58,787 --> 01:18:00,637
Well, uh, thank you very much.

1419
01:18:01,348 --> 01:18:02,455
great conversation.

1420
01:18:02,455 --> 01:18:05,395
Great to have you, uh,
wish you all the best.

1421
01:18:05,845 --> 01:18:09,505
And, uh, this has been the Bitcoin
Infinity Show and nothing else.

1422
01:18:09,655 --> 01:18:10,555
Thanks for listening.

1423
01:18:11,490 --> 01:18:12,085
I appreciate it.